Match Info

Date: 8 April 2021, Thursday


	Metalac		Javor Ivanjica

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.87
	2.38	2.8	2.8
	2.42	3	2.8
	2.48	3.18	3.01
	2.45	2.88	2.88
	2.41	2.83	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.08)	2.95 ↓ (3.19)	2.92 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalac
37.6%

Draw
31%

Javor Ivanjica
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

18.6%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalac's form might have worsened.

Javor Ivanjica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalac than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Javor Ivanjica than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Javor Ivanjica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.8%	33.3%	20.8%

Metalac - Javor Ivanjica Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Metalac will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Javor will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metalac: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Metalac won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Metalac won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalac Gornji Milanovac
Serbian Superliga
03.04.21	Partizan - Metalac	3:0 ✺
19.03.21	Metalac - Napredak Kruševac	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	Mladost Lučani - Metalac	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Metalac - Voždovac	2:1 ✺
03.03.21	Čukarički - Metalac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTWL
- Javor Ivanjica
Serbian Superliga
03.04.21	Javor Ivanjica - Bačka	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Zlatibor Čajetina - Javor Ivanjica	0:2 ✺
14.03.21	Javor Ivanjica - Rad	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Vojvodina - Javor Ivanjica	2:0 ✺
03.03.21	Javor Ivanjica - Inđija	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.01.21	Metalac - Javor Ivanjica	3:1
14.11.20	Metalac - Javor Ivanjica	3:4
Serbian Superliga
17.10.20	Javor Ivanjica - Metalac	1:3
Serbian Prva Liga
01.05.19	Metalac - Javor Ivanjica	1:1
11.11.18	Metalac - Javor Ivanjica	4:1
10.08.18	Javor Ivanjica - Metalac	1:1
Serbian Superliga
18.03.17	Javor Ivanjica - Metalac	1:0

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