Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion FK Metalac (Gornji Milanovac)

Referee: Lukic L. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport


	Metalac		Mladost Lučani

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.2
	2.75	3.1	2.23
	2.95	3.15	2.24
	2.95	3.37	2.26
	2.9	3.1	2.25
	2.91	3.38	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.56)	3.22 ↑ (3.06)	2.24 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalac
31.3%

Draw
28.2%

Mladost Lučani
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

30.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

29.7%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalac's form might have worsened.

Mladost Lučani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mladost Lučani's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalac than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metalac, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mladost Lučani, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	18.2%	45.5%

Metalac - Mladost Lučani Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Metalac will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Mladost Lučani will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mladost Lučani: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metalac won 0.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Metalac won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Metalac won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalac Gornji Milanovac
Serbian Superliga
07.05.22	Metalac - Novi Pazar	0:3 ✺
02.05.22	Proleter Novi Sad - Metalac	0:0 ✺
28.04.22	Radnik Surdulica - Metalac	3:3 ✺
21.04.22	Metalac - Spartak Subotica	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Kolubara - Metalac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTTL
- Mladost Lučani
Serbian Superliga
08.05.22	Mladost Lučani - Radnik Surdulica	2:3 ✺
30.04.22	Kolubara - Mladost Lučani	3:0 ✺
26.04.22	Mladost Lučani - Radnički 1923	0:0 ✺
21.04.22	Novi Pazar - Mladost Lučani	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Mladost Lučani - Proleter Novi Sad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
20.03.22	Mladost Lučani - Metalac	3:3
18.10.21	Metalac - Mladost Lučani	0:2
14.03.21	Mladost Lučani - Metalac	1:1
19.09.20	Metalac - Mladost Lučani	1:1
05.12.16	Mladost Lučani - Metalac	1:1
10.08.16	Metalac - Mladost Lučani	2:0
03.05.16	Metalac - Mladost Lučani	2:2

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