Match Info

SERBIA: PRVA LIGA - ROUND 17

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Metalac		OFK Beograd

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.73
	4.5	3.4	1.72	Watch
	4.7	3.35	1.8
	4.26	3.11	1.81
	4.2	3.25	1.67
	4.33	3.3	1.76	Watch
	3.95	3.3	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↓ (4.75)	3.29 ↓ (3.69)	1.76 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalac
21.1%

Draw
27.5%

OFK Beograd
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

24.6%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

24.2%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

OFK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalac than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that OFK Beograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Metalac - OFK Beograd Predictions

Users Predictions: OFK Beograd will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalac Gornji Milanovac
Serbian Prva Liga
12.11.23	Grafičar Beograd - Metalac	1:1 ✺
06.11.23	Novi Sad 1921 - Metalac	0:1 ✺
Serbian Cup
01.11.23	Metalac - Radnički Niš	0:3 ✺
Serbian Prva Liga
27.10.23	Metalac - Dubočica	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Radnički Beograd - Metalac	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWLTL
- OFK Beograd
Serbian Prva Liga
12.11.23	OFK Beograd - Sloboda Užice	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	OFK Beograd - Mačva Šabac	2:1 ✺
27.10.23	Vršac - OFK Beograd	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	OFK Beograd - Mladost Novi Sad	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.10.23	Partizan - OFK Beograd	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Prva Liga
13.08.23	OFK Beograd - Metalac	4:1
Serbian Superliga
16.04.16	Metalac - OFK Beograd	1:1
10.04.16	Metalac - OFK Beograd	3:1
Serbian Cup
28.10.15	Metalac - OFK Beograd	3:4 penalties
Serbian Superliga
24.10.15	OFK Beograd - Metalac	1:0

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