Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday


	Metalac		Radnički 1923

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.9	4.1
	1.6	3.7	4.9
	1.63	3.8	5.35
	1.6	3.4	5.25
	1.6	3.82	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)	3.72 ↓ (4.05)	4.92 ↓ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalac
56.8%

Draw
24.6%

Radnički 1923
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

22.8%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

13.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Radnički 1923 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalac than the current prediction. (-21.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnički 1923 than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnički 1923 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metalac - Radnički 1923 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Metalac could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Metalac is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Metalac won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Metalac won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalac Gornji Milanovac
Serbian Superliga
17.09.21	Metalac - Kolubara	3:1 ✺
11.09.21	Vojvodina - Metalac	2:2 ✺
28.08.21	Novi Pazar - Metalac	2:0 ✺
20.08.21	Metalac - Voždovac	0:1 ✺
07.08.21	Metalac - Proleter Novi Sad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLLW
- Radnički 1923
Serbian Superliga
22.09.21	Radnički 1923 - Novi Pazar	2:1 ✺
18.09.21	Voždovac - Radnički 1923	1:2 ✺
11.09.21	Radnički 1923 - Partizan	1:3 ✺
30.08.21	Proleter Novi Sad - Radnički 1923	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	Radnički 1923 - Čukarički	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.07.21	Radnički 1923 - Metalac	0:3
27.01.21	Metalac - Radnički 1923	2:3
Serbian Prva Liga
24.11.19	Metalac - Radnički 1923	0:0
06.03.19	Metalac - Radnički 1923	1:2
24.10.18	Radnički 1923 - Metalac	2:1
Club Friendly
04.08.18	Radnički 1923 - Metalac	1:3
Serbian Prva Liga
19.03.18	Radnički 1923 - Metalac	0:1

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