RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 7
Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday
Location: Stadion Metallurg (Lipetsk)
Metallurg Lipetsk
Rodina Moscow 2
1
X
2
4.21
3.64
1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)
4.21 ↓ (4.34)
3.64 ↑ (3.5)
1.71 ↓ (1.74)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metallurg Lipetsk 21.7%
Draw 25%
Rodina Moscow 2 53.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.1%
26.2%
52.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.6%
25.6%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Rodina Moscow 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 2 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
74. Yavorski N. (G) 11. Borisenko G. 22. Bushuev D. 17. Glukhov E. 14. Gordienko V. 4. Gorunkov N. 25. Khodeev P. 91. Komar S. 23. Kononenko N. 67. Tkachuk R. 6. Velikorodnyi D.
98. Pavlov N. (G) 71. Atamanskiy I. 96. Belokhonov A. 95. Chernyshev D. 22. Gapechkin A. 77. Gaziev A. 15. Kochiev K. 89. Maltsev R. 27. Malygin D. 87. Stefanishin A. 21. Yudintsev G.
Substitutes
15. Elizarov M. 19. Glebov I. 16. Kobzev A. (G) 1. Korablin P. (G) 27. Korotkikh I. 42. Lapshov I. 87. Roshchin A. 18. Sazonov I.
93. Antonov I. 28. Burlakov M. 81. Bykov N. (G) 29. Gadziev D. G. 3. Kolobov E. 49. Popov O. 48. Shilov D. 79. Svintsov D. 51. Trapitsyn N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Borisenko G. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Malygin D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Belokhonov A. ↓, Burlakov M. ↑,
46', Yudintsev G. ↓, Popov O. ↑,
48', Khodeev P. 🟨,
61', Atamanskiy I. ↓, Antonov I. ↑,
63', Glukhov E. ↓, Glebov I. ↑,
69', Bushuev D. ↓, Elizarov M. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Burlakov M. ⚽,
83', Malygin D. ↓, Shilov D. ↑,
83', Kochiev K. ↓, Kolobov E. ↑,
86', Komar S. ↓, Sazonov I. ↑,
86', Kononenko N. ↓, Roshchin A. ↑,
87', Gorunkov N. ↓, Korotkikh I. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Metallurg Lipetsk won 3.
Metallurg Lipetsk has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Rodina 2 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Rodina 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Rodina 2 is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Metallurg Lipetsk won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Metallurg Lipetsk won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
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Yavorski N. (G) 
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