Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday


	Metallurg Vidnoe		Kvant Obninsk

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.4	2.5
	2.45	3.5	2.4
	2.43	3.45	2.32
	2.08	3.76	2.74
	2.08	3.82	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.93)	3.59 ↑ (3.52)	2.57 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Vidnoe
39.6%

Draw
25.2%

Kvant Obninsk
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

25.5%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

19.3%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Vidnoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metallurg Vidnoe's performance.

Kvant Obninsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kvant Obninsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Vidnoe than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Vidnoe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kvant Obninsk than the current prediction. (+23%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kvant Obninsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metallurg Vidnoe - Kvant Obninsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Relegation).

Metallurg Vidnoe has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kvant is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kvant could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Metallurg Vidnoe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Metallurg Vidnoe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Vidnoe
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
14.09.21	Saransk - Metallurg Vidnoe	3:0 ✺
07.09.21	Metallurg Vidnoe - Krasnoye Znamya	2:3 ✺
03.09.21	Metallurg Vidnoe - SKA Khabarovsk 2	2:2 ✺
30.08.21	Metallurg Vidnoe - Strogino Moskva	1:4 ✺
21.08.21	Khimki 2 - Metallurg Vidnoe	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Kvant Obninsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
14.09.21	Kvant Obninsk - Peresvet Domodedovo	1:3 ✺
10.09.21	Rodina Moscow - Kvant Obninsk	3:1 ✺
04.09.21	Kvant Obninsk - Kolomna	2:0 ✺
21.08.21	Saransk - Kvant Obninsk	3:0 ✺
18.08.21	Strogino Moskva - Kvant Obninsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
09.08.20	Kvant Obninsk - Metallurg Vidnoe	2:1
Russian Cup
05.08.20	Metallurg Vidnoe - Kvant Obninsk	1:0

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