Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 16

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass (Buzau)


	Metalul Buzău		Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.15	6.7
	1.4	4.26	7.14
	1.37	4.51	7.33	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.37	4.15	7.6
	1.4	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.62)	4.23 ↑ (3.52)	7.13 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalul Buzău
65.7%

Draw
21.5%

Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalul Buzău has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metalul Buzău's performance.

Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalul Buzău than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalul Buzău that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Metalul Buzău - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	23. Ailenei I. (G)
	3. Alistar T.
	14. Anton A.
	8. Copot Barb C.
	11. Cretu G.
	18. Davordzie C.
	28. Filip R.
	44. Marc A.
	22. Munteanu R.
	24. Sandru M.
	34. Telcean T.
Substitutes
	67. Barna A. (G)
	94. Buterchi R.
	20. Granja R.
	80. Matis R.
	4. Pintea C.
	92. Stroe R.
	9. Yolou T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 🟨,
7', 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Davordzie C. (Penalty Awarded),
10', 1 - 1, ⚽,
15', 🟨,
23', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 🟨,
70', 2 - 1, Robu V. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).

Metalul Buzău is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ceahlăul has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ceahlăul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Metalul Buzău is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Metalul Buzău won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalul Buzău won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalul Buzău
Romanian Cup
04.12.25	Sporting Liești - Metalul Buzău	4:7 ✺
Romanian Division 2
30.11.25	Reșița - Metalul Buzău	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Metalul Buzău - Steaua București	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	CS Dinamo București - Metalul Buzău	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Metalul Buzău - Muscelul Câmpulung Elite	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTWW
- Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
Romanian Division 2
29.11.25	Steaua București - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ - Muscelul Câmpulung Elite	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Dumbrăviţa - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ - CSM Satu Mare	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Viitorul Șelimbăr - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Cup
27.08.25	Metalul Buzău - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	4:0
Romanian Division 2
08.12.24	Metalul Buzău - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	2:0
Romanian Liga 3 - Promotion Play-Offs
27.05.23	Metalul Buzău - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	1:2
24.05.23	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ - Metalul Buzău	1:1

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