Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass (Buzau)


	Metalul Buzău		CSM Satu Mare

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.15	7.1
	1.34	4.34	9.33
	1.42	4.83	5.85	Watch
	1.37	5.43	6.52
	1.6	3.9	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.63)	4.53 ↑ (3.8)	6.76 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalul Buzău
65.6%

Draw
20.6%

CSM Satu Mare
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

22.9%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalul Buzău has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metalul Buzău's performance.

CSM Satu Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CSM Satu Mare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalul Buzău than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metalul Buzău that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSM Satu Mare than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Metalul Buzău - CSM Satu Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Dinu I. (G) 99. Bortoneanu C. 9. Dumitrache V. 97. Nica A. 4. Olaru A. N. 27. Opait F. 5. Parfeon D. 33. Radu R. 28. Robu V. 98. Saim Tudor A. 10. Tudorica M. (C)	33. Deaky Z. (G) 20. Danu D. 23. Donca M. 2. Ghazoini E. 18. Magyari S. 67. Marin M. 10. Mustaca R. 26. Oanea C. (C) 99. Pop A. 98. Sabau A. 7. Zamfir C.
Substitutes
19. Bancila D. 20. Gatan R. 15. Gavric N. 6. Hanada Y. 2. Juncanaru C. 11. Moldovan A. 8. Oprea D. D. 80. Stancovici V. 23. Stoian R. (G)	. Bontas K. 14. Calugher V. 8. Copaci P. . Hosu M. 65. Pinter B. . Staiculescu D. . Todoran D. . Vaduva D. (G) 6. Vasalie A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dumitrache V. ↓, Moldovan A. ↑,
46', Danu D. ↓, Calugher V. ↑,
46', 0 - 1, Zamfir C. ⚽,
55', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 22 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: )).

Metalul Buzău has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

CSM Satu Mare is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Metalul Buzău is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalul Buzău
Romanian Division 2
20.09.25	Politehnica Iași - Metalul Buzău	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Metalul Buzău - Viitorul Șelimbăr	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Afumaţi - Metalul Buzău	0:2 ✺
Romanian Cup
27.08.25	Metalul Buzău - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	4:0 ✺
Romanian Division 2
23.08.25	Metalul Buzău - Corvinul Hunedoara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWL
- CSM Satu Mare
Romanian Division 2
20.09.25	Viitorul Șelimbăr - CSM Satu Mare	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	CSM Satu Mare - Corvinul Hunedoara	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Sepsi OSK - CSM Satu Mare	1:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
27.08.25	CSM Satu Mare - CSM Slatina	0:3 ✺
Romanian Division 2
24.08.25	CSM Satu Mare - Chindia Târgoviște	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLL

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