Match Info
Catarinense 2 - Round 10Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday
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Metropolitano |
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Guarani de Palhoça |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.44 |
3.70 |
6.50 |
|
 |
1.45 |
3.7 |
6.5 |
|
 |
1.47 |
3.66 |
6.31 |
|
 |
1.49 |
3.7 |
6.59 |
 Watch |
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1.44 |
3.6 |
6.5 |
|
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1.45 |
3.6 |
7.45 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.2 |
4.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.55) |
3.59 ↑
(3.2) |
6.38 ↑
(4.8) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Metropolitano
61% | Draw
24.9% | Guarani de Palhoça
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metropolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metropolitano's performance.Guarani de Palhoça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani de Palhoça than the current prediction. (+2.6%)Metropolitano - Guarani de Palhoça Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 72', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metropolitano won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Metropolitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Metropolitano is seen as the favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Metropolitano won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Metropolitano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Metropolitano | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 38 |
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| 6 | Guarani de Palhoca | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 23 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2 | | | 25.04.26 | Guarani de Palhoça - Metropolitano | 0:1 | | 22.06.24 | Guarani de Palhoça - Metropolitano | 0:0 | | 06.08.23 | Guarani de Palhoça - Metropolitano | 3:1 | | 30.07.23 | Metropolitano - Guarani de Palhoça | 0:1 | | 24.06.23 | Guarani de Palhoça - Metropolitano | 1:0 | | Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense | | | 27.03.16 | Metropolitano - Guarani de Palhoça | 2:2 | | 14.02.16 | Guarani de Palhoça - Metropolitano | 2:3 |
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