Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Rose Bowl (Pasadena, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, Disney+, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga 2
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Mexico		Australia

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.75
	1.62	3.9	5.71
	1.6	3.97	5.31	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.7	4	5.52	Watch
	1.47	4.3	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.51)	3.93 ↓ (4.1)	5.35 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexico
58.5%

Draw
23.9%

Australia
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.3%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Mexico - Australia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Mexico (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mexico will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mexico (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rangel R. (G) Guadalajara Chivas 2. Sanchez J. PAOK 5. Vasquez J. Genoa 24. Chavez L. Dynamo Moscow 20. Chavez Garcia M. AZ Alkmaar 8. Fidalgo A. Betis 7. Romo L. Guadalajara Chivas 4. Alvarez E. (C) Fenerbahce 17. Pineda O. AEK 22. Martinez G. UNAM Pumas 10. Vega A. Toluca	1. Ryan M. (C) Levante 5. Bos J. Feyenoord 26. Herrington L. Colorado Rapids 19. Souttar H. Leicester 3. Circati A. Parma 13. O'Neill A. New York City 8. Metcalfe C. St. Pauli 22. Irvine J. St. Pauli 23. Italiano J. Grazer AK 9. Toure M. Norwich 7. Leckie M. Melbourne City
Coaches
Aguirre J.	Popovic T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Vasquez J. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
32', Italiano J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rangel R. ↓, Ochoa G. ↑,
46', Martinez G. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
46', Sanchez J. ↓, Reyes I. ↑,
46', Pineda O. ↓, Huerta Valera C. S. ↑,
52', Huerta Valera C. S. 🟨,
60', Alvarez E. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
60', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑,
60', Vega A. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
60', Fidalgo A. ↓, Mora G. ↑,
60', Chavez L. ↓, Lira E. ↑,
67', O'Neill A. ↓, Okon-Engstler P. ↑,
67', Italiano J. ↓, Trewin K. ↑,
67', Leckie M. ↓, Hrustic A. ↑,
67', Metcalfe C. ↓, Velupillay N. ↑,
74', Vasquez J. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
74', Romo L. ↓, Vargas O. ↑,
80', Toure M. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
80', Bos J. ↓, Behich A. ↑,
90', Herrington L. ↓, Burgess C. ↑,
90', Irvine J. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Rose Bowl.

Mexico is ranked FIFA: 15. Australia is ranked FIFA: 27.

Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mexico is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mexico won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico
Friendly
22.05.26	Mexico - Ghana	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Mexico - Belgium	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Mexico - Portugal	0:0 ✺
25.02.26	Mexico - Iceland	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	Bolivia - Mexico	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTWW
- Australia
FIFA Series
31.03.26	Australia - Curaçao	5:1 ✺
27.03.26	Australia - Cameroon	1:0 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Colombia - Australia	3:0 ✺
14.11.25	Venezuela - Australia	1:0 ✺
14.10.25	USA - Australia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
09.09.23	Mexico - Australia	2:2

Mexico - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide