Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Azteca (Mexico City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	ZhiBo8
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Portugal	Canal 11, RTP 1, Sport TV1, Sport TV2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
World	VIX App


	Mexico		Portugal

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.9
	4.1	3.7	1.8
	3.95	3.45	1.88
	4.2	3.61	1.9
	4.02	3.68	1.88	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.85
	4.26	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (4.42)	3.58 ↓ (3.94)	1.87 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexico
23.3%

Draw
26.3%

Portugal
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

24.5%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Portugal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	9.1%	77.3%

Mexico - Portugal Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Portugal will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portugal: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Portugal (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Portugal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Portugal (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rangel R. (G) Guadalajara Chivas 15. Reyes I. Club America 3. Montes C. (C) Lokomotiv Moscow 5. Vasquez J. Genoa 23. Gallardo J. Toluca 18. Vargas O. Atl. Madrid 6. Lira E. Cruz Azul 19. Fidalgo A. Betis 25. Alvarado R. Guadalajara Chivas 9. Jimenez R. Fulham 24. Gutierrez B. Guadalajara Chivas	22. Silva R. (G) Sporting CP 6. Nunes M. Manchester City 4. Silva A. Benfica 13. Veiga R. Villarreal 25. Mendes N. PSG 5. Samu Costa Mallorca 21. Neves R. Al Hilal 26. Conceicao F. Juventus 8. Fernandes B. (C) Manchester United 10. Joao Felix Al Nassr 9. Ramos G. PSG
Substitutes
12. Acevedo C. (G) Santos Laguna 4. Angulo J. Tigres UANL 7. Berterame G. Inter Miami 21. del Villar E. Toluca 20. Garcia D. Juarez 26. Gonzalez A. Guadalajara Chivas 22. Ledezma R. Guadalajara Chivas 11. Martinez G. UNAM Pumas 13. Ochoa G. (G) AEL Limassol 17. Pineda O. AEK 16. Quinones J. Al Qadsiah 8. Rodriguez C. Cruz Azul 14. Sanchez E. Club America 2. Sanchez J. PAOK 10. Vega A. Toluca	3. Araujo T. Benfica 20. Cancelo J. Barcelona 2. Dalot D. Manchester United 11. Fernandes M. West Ham 19. Goncalves P. Sporting CP 7. Guedes G. Real Sociedad 24. Horta R. Braga 14. Inacio G. Sporting CP 18. Neto P. Chelsea 15. Neves J. PSG 17. Paulinho Toluca 12. Sa J. (G) Wolves 16. Trincao Sporting CP 1. Velho R. (G) Genclerbirligi 23. Vitinha PSG
Coaches
Aguirre J.	Martinez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Samu Costa ↓, Vitinha ↑,
46', Joao Felix ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
46', Silva A. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
46', Conceicao F. ↓, Neto P. ↑,
46', Nunes M. ↓, Cancelo J. ↑,
46', Neves R. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
46', Mendes N. ↓, Dalot D. ↑,
46', Vargas O. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
46', Gutierrez B. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
54', Gallardo J. 🟨,
54', Neto P. 🟨,
60', Fidalgo A. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
60', Alvarado R. ↓, Ledezma R. ↑,
60', Jimenez R. ↓, Berterame G. ↑,
64', Ramos G. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
78', Gallardo J. ↓, del Villar E. ↑,
78', Lira E. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
81', Fernandes B. ↓, Trincao ↑,

Preview

In this match, Portugal is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico
Friendly
25.02.26	Mexico - Iceland	4:0 ✺
25.01.26	Bolivia - Mexico	0:1 ✺
22.01.26	Panama - Mexico	0:1 ✺
18.11.25	Mexico - Paraguay	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Mexico - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLT
- Portugal
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Portugal - Armenia	9:1 ✺
13.11.25	Ireland - Portugal	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Portugal - Hungary	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Portugal - Ireland	1:0 ✺
09.09.25	Hungary - Portugal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA Confederations Cup
02.07.17	Portugal - Mexico	2:1 ET
18.06.17	Portugal - Mexico	2:2
Friendly
06.06.14	Mexico - Portugal	0:1

Mexico - Portugal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide