Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: M&T Bank Stadium (Baltimore, MD)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Caracol TV, Ditu
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, Claro Sports, TUDN, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Venezuela	Inter


	Mexico		Colombia

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.40	2.45
	2.70	3.25	2.50
	2.75	3.35	2.55
	2.67	3.55	2.59
	2.72	3.44	2.54
	2.60	3.45	2.55
	2.85	3.50	2.41	Watch
	2.70	3.30	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.85)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	2.51 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexico
34.8%

Draw
27.7%

Colombia
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

26.5%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Colombia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Mexico - Colombia Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 18 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mexico: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mexico (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rangel R. (G) Guadalajara Chivas 2. Sanchez J. Atlas 15. Reyes I. Club America 5. Vasquez J. (C) Genoa 23. Gallardo J. Toluca 10. Mora G. Club Tijuana 6. Lira E. Cruz Azul 24. Chavez L. Dynamo Moscow 25. Alvarado R. Guadalajara Chivas 14. Gonzalez A. Olympiacos Piraeus 22. Lozano H. Los Angeles Galaxy	24. Montero A. (G) Boca Juniors 2. Munoz D. Nottingham 23. Sanchez D. (C) Galatasaray 3. Lucumi J. Juventus 4. Angulo A. UNAM Pumas 5. Castano K. Atletico-MG 6. Rios R. Al Ittihad 8. Puerta G. Olympiacos Piraeus 26. Gomez A. Vasco 9. Suarez L. Sporting CP 10. Arias J. Palmeiras
Substitutes
9. Berterame G. Inter Miami 20. Chavez Garcia M. AZ Alkmaar 27. del Villar E. Toluca 8. Fidalgo A. Betis 19. Garcia D. Juarez 12. Garcia O. (G) Club Leon 11. Gimenez S. FC Porto 4. Guzman V. Monterrey 16. Marquez J. Cruz Azul 29. Padilla A. (G) Ath Bilbao 17. Pineda O. Monterrey 18. Vargas O. Atl. Madrid 26. Violante I. Club America	25. Andrade K. Zenit St Petersburg 13. Arcila D. Club Leon 22. Asprilla Y. Girona 15. Caicedo R. Cercle Brugge 21. Campaz J. Rosario Central 11. Duran C. Celtic 1. Mier K. (G) Cruz Azul 18. Ocampo E. Vancouver Whitecaps 16. Orozco M. Castellon 7. Perea O. Club America 12. Quintana A. (G) Independiente del Valle 19. Rengifo J. Atl. Nacional 14. Solis Romero J. E. Birmingham 17. Velasquez S. Atl. Nacional 20. Viveros K. Athletico-PR
Coaches
Marquez R.	Lorenzo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Rios R. (A),
23', Suarez L. 🟨,
37', Angulo A. 🟨,
43', Lozano H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Sanchez J. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Mora G. ⚽, Gallardo J. (A),
64', Mora G. ↓, Fidalgo A. ↑,
64', Gallardo J. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
64', Lozano H. ↓, Pineda O. ↑,
64', Chavez L. ↓, Vargas O. ↑,
66', Suarez L. ↓, Viveros K. ↑,
66', Gomez A. ↓, Campaz J. ↑,
66', Angulo A. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
71', Rios R. ↓, Asprilla Y. ↑,
71', Castano K. ↓, Orozco M. ↑,
74', Gonzalez A. ↓, Berterame G. ↑,
75', Sanchez J. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
75', Alvarado R. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
88', Lira E. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,

Preview

Mexico is ranked FIFA: 14., and Colombia is ranked FIFA: 13..

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Mexico has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:12 (averaging 1:3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico
FIFA World Cup
05.07.26	Mexico - England	2:3 ✺
30.06.26	Mexico - Ecuador	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Czech Republic - Mexico	0:3 ✺
18.06.26	Mexico - South Korea	1:0 ✺
11.06.26	Mexico - South Africa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW
- Colombia
FIFA World Cup
07.07.26	Switzerland - Colombia	1:0 penalties ✺
03.07.26	Colombia - Ghana	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Colombia - Portugal	0:0 ✺
23.06.26	Colombia - D.R. Congo	1:0 ✺
17.06.26	Uzbekistan - Colombia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
11.10.25	Mexico - Colombia	0:4
16.12.23	Mexico - Colombia	2:3
27.09.22	Colombia - Mexico	3:2
29.02.12	Mexico - Colombia	0:2

Mexico - Colombia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide