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Mexico - South Korea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • World Championship - Round 2
  • Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday
  • Location: Estadio Akron (Zapopan)
  • Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Mexico South Korea
    Mexico South Korea
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.04 ↑
    (1.8)    		 3.22 ↓
    (3.42)    		 4.06 ↓
    (4.49)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Mexico
    46.8%    		Draw
    29.7%    		South Korea
    23.5%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    51.9% 27.3% 20.8%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mexico's form might have worsened.
  • South Korea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    45.7% 34.3% 20%

    Mexico - South Korea Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 105 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 48 - 45.7%). South Korea will win (votes: 21 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 36 - 34.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mexico: 36.2% – 55.2%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Mexico (votes: 2 - 11.8%). South Korea (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - South Korea (2.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - South Korea (1.76) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Mexico (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (1.91) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Mexico (votes: 3 - 13%). South Korea (votes: 10 - 43.5%). Tie (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. MexicoRangel R. (G) Guadalajara Chivas
      2. MexicoSanchez J. PAOK
      4. MexicoAlvarez E. (C) Fenerbahce
      5. MexicoVasquez J. Genoa
    23. MexicoGallardo J. Toluca
    26. MexicoGutierrez B. Guadalajara Chivas
      6. MexicoLira E. Cruz Azul
      7. MexicoRomo L. Guadalajara Chivas
    25. MexicoAlvarado R. Guadalajara Chivas
      9. MexicoJimenez R. Fulham
    16. MexicoQuinones J. Al Qadsiah
    		  1. SouthKim Seung-Gyu (G) FC Tokyo
      2. SouthLee Han-Beom Midtjylland
      4. SouthKim Min-Jae Bayern Munich
      3. SouthLee Gi-Hyuk Gangwon
    15. SouthKim Moon-Hwan Daejeon
      6. SouthHwang In-Beom Feyenoord
      8. SouthPaik Seung-Ho Birmingham
    22. SouthSeol Young-Woo Crvena zvezda
    19. SouthLee Kang-In PSG
    10. SouthLee Jae-Sung Mainz
      7. SouthSon Heung-Min (C) Los Angeles FC
    Substitutes
    12. MexicoAcevedo C. (G) Santos Laguna
    20. MexicoChavez Garcia M. AZ Alkmaar
    24. MexicoChavez L. Dynamo Moscow
      8. MexicoFidalgo A. Betis
    11. MexicoGimenez S. AC Milan
    14. MexicoGonzalez A. Guadalajara Chivas
    21. MexicoHuerta Valera C. S. Anderlecht
    22. MexicoMartinez G. UNAM Pumas
    19. MexicoMora G. Club Tijuana
    13. MexicoOchoa G. (G) AEL Limassol
    17. MexicoPineda O. AEK
    15. MexicoReyes I. Club America
    18. MexicoVargas O. Atl. Madrid
    10. MexicoVega A. Toluca
    		17. SouthBae Jun-Ho Stoke City
    23. SouthCastrop J. B. Monchengladbach
      9. SouthCho Gue-Sung Midtjylland
    14. SouthCho Wi-Je Jeonbuk
    25. SouthEom Ji-Sung Swansea
    11. SouthHwang Hee-Chan Wolves
    21. SouthJo Hyeon-Woo (G) Ulsan Hyundai
    24. SouthKim Jin-Gyu Jeonbuk
      5. SouthKim Tae-Hyeon Kashima Antlers
    26. SouthLee Dong-Gyeong Ulsan Hyundai
    13. SouthLee Tae-Seok Austria Vienna
    18. SouthOh Hyeon-Gyu Besiktas
    16. SouthPark Jin-Seob Zhejiang Professional
    12. SouthSong Bum-Keun (G) Jeonbuk
    20. SouthYang Hyun-Jun Celtic
    Coaches
         MexicoAguirre J.
    		     SouthHong Myung-Bo

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 4', Lee Kang-In 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 50', 1 - 0, Romo L. ⚽,
    • 57', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
    • 57', Son Heung-Min ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
    • 58', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,
    • 71', Gutierrez B. ↓, Pineda O. ↑,
    • 71', Romo L. ↓, Vargas O. ↑,
    • 71', Seol Young-Woo ↓, Yang Hyun-Jun ↑,
    • 71', Kim Moon-Hwan ↓, Eom Ji-Sung ↑,
    • 77', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Cho Gue-Sung ↑,
    • 80', Jimenez R. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
    • 80', Alvarado R. ↓, Reyes I. ↑,
    • 84', Quinones J. ↓, Huerta Valera C. S. ↑,

    Preview

  • Mexico is ranked FIFA: 14. South Korea is ranked FIFA: 25.
  • Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Mexico could have a small edge in this match.
  • There will not play in Mexico: Montes C. (Red Card)
  • There will not play in South Korea: Cho Yu-Min (Foot Injury)
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Mexico
    FIFA World Cup
    11.06.26 Mexico - South Africa 2:0 ✺
    Friendly
    04.06.26 Mexico - Serbia 5:1 ✺
    30.05.26 Mexico - Australia 1:0 ✺
    22.05.26 Mexico - Ghana 2:0 ✺
    31.03.26 Mexico - Belgium 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5
    WWWWT
    - South Korea
    FIFA World Cup
    11.06.26 South Korea - Czech Republic 2:1 ✺
    Friendly
    03.06.26 South Korea - Salvador 1:0 ✺
    30.05.26 South Korea - Trinidad & Tobago 5:0 ✺
    31.03.26 Austria - South Korea 1:0 ✺
    28.03.26 South Korea - Ivory Coast 0:4 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4
    WWWLL
    Latest Head to Head
    Friendly
    09.09.25 Mexico - South Korea 2:2
    14.11.20 Mexico - South Korea 3:2
    FIFA World Cup
    23.06.18 South Korea - Mexico 1:2
    Friendly
    29.01.14 Mexico - South Korea 4:0
    Olympic Games - Football
    26.07.12 Mexico - South Korea 0:0

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