Match Info

Gold Cup - Round 1

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Australia	ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	OneSoccer, TLN, TSN 5, Univision Canada, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 2
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
Singapore	HUB Sports 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	Gol Play, GolStadium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Tubi TV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Mexico		Dominican Republic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.15	8	17
	1.11	7.4	22	Watch
	1.14	8.3	18.05
	1.12	7.81	16.29	Watch
	1.15	7	17
	1.14	7.92	16.2	Watch
	1.11	7.4	22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.16)	7.69 ↑ (7.5)	18.36 ↑ (16.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexico
82.7%

Draw
12.2%

Dominican Republic
5.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.6%

12.6%

5.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Dominican Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Mexico - Dominican Republic Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Dominican Rep will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mexico: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mexico will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Malagon L. (G) Club America 2. Sanchez J. Cruz Azul 23. Gallardo J. Toluca 15. Reyes I. Club America 3. Montes C. Lokomotiv Moscow 17. Pineda O. AEK 6. Lira E. Cruz Azul 4. Alvarez E. West Ham 25. Alvarado R. Guadalajara Chivas 9. Jimenez R. Fulham 11. Gimenez S. AC Milan	12. Valdez X. (G) Nashville SC 2. Urbaez J. Leganes 4. Pujol E. Real Madrid 5. Dollenmayer N. El Paso Locomotive 6. Rosario P. Nice 14. Lopez J. (C) Cibao 11. Reyes E. Arsenal Tula 8. Morschel H. Vizela 17. Romero D. Bolivar 18. Kaparos J. RW Essen 19. Peter Federico Getafe
Substitutes
22. Araujo J. Bournemouth 26. Chavez Garcia M. Tapatio 21. Huerta Valera C. S. Anderlecht 7. Mora G. Club Tijuana 13. Ochoa G. (G) AFS 19. Orozco J. Cruz Azul 16. Quinones J. Al Qadisiya 12. Rangel R. (G) Guadalajara Chivas 8. Rodriguez C. Cruz Azul 14. Ruiz M. Toluca 18. Sepulveda A. Cruz Azul 10. Vega A. Toluca	13. Azcona E. Las Vegas Lights 15. Beltre M. Azuqueca 20. Breton L. Cibao 23. de Lucas L. Nea Salamis 21. Familia-Castillo J. Waalwijk 22. Geraldo W. (G) 25. Japa E. UMECIT 1. Lloyd M. (G) Cibao 7. Nunez R. FC Cartagena SAD 16. Pineda J. Beroe 24. Sambataro M. Cibao 10. Vasquez R. SumQayit FK
Coaches
Aguirre J.	Neveleff M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Alvarez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Pineda O. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
46', Reyes I. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Jimenez R. ⚽,
51', 2 - 1, Peter Federico ⚽,
53', 3 - 1, Alvarez E. ⚽,
63', Reyes E. ↓, Azcona E. ↑,
63', Dollenmayer N. ↓, de Lucas L. ↑,
65', Morschel H. 🟨,
68', 3 - 2, Azcona E. ⚽,
73', Gimenez S. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
77', Lopez J. 🟨,
78', Morschel H. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
79', Romero D. ↓, Japa E. ↑,
80', Japa E. 🟨,
82', Montes C. ↓, Orozco J. ↑,
83', Jimenez R. ↓, Huerta Valera C. S. ↑,
90', Urbaez J. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
90+5', Quinones J. 🟨,
90+6', Gallardo J. 🟨,

Preview

Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mexico is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico
Friendly
10.06.25	Mexico - Turkey	1:0 ✺
07.06.25	Mexico - Switzerland	2:4 ✺
CONCACAF Nations League
23.03.25	Mexico - Panama	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Canada - Mexico	0:2 ✺
Friendly
21.01.25	River Plate Montevideo - Mexico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWL
- Dominican Republic
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Dominican Republic - Dominica	5:0 ✺
06.06.25	Guatemala - Dominican Republic	4:2 ✺
Friendly
25.03.25	Dominican Republic - Puerto Rico	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Puerto Rico - Dominican Republic	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Nations League
19.11.24	Dominican Republic - Bermuda	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWTW

Mexico - Dominican Republic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide