Match Info

Date: 6 August 2021, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Mexico		Japan

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.87
	2.4	3.3	2.75
	2.38	3.45	2.9
	2.37	3.4	2.85
	2.44	3.58	2.96
	2.43	3.62	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.6)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	2.88 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mexico
39.5%

Draw
27.6%

Japan
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.4%

27.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

20.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mexico than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mexico, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Japan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.3%	28.9%	15.8%

Mexico - Japan Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 21 - 55.3%). Japan will win (votes: 6 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mexico: 39.5% – 71.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Mexico is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Japan is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mexico won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico Olympic
Olympic Games - Football
03.08.21	Mexico - Brazil	0:1 penalties ✺
31.07.21	South Korea - Mexico	3:6 ✺
28.07.21	South Africa - Mexico	0:3 ✺
25.07.21	Japan - Mexico	2:1 ✺
22.07.21	Mexico - France	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLW
- Japan Olympic
Olympic Games - Football
03.08.21	Japan - Spain	0:1 ET ✺
31.07.21	Japan - New Zealand	1:0 penalties ✺
28.07.21	France - Japan	0:4 ✺
25.07.21	Japan - Mexico	2:1 ✺
22.07.21	Japan - South Africa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Football
25.07.21	Japan - Mexico	2:1

Mexico - Japan