Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Rommel Fernandez (Panama City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Panama	Medcom GO, RPC
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision


	Panama		Mexico

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.65
	4.33	3.5	1.8
	4.95	3.55	1.65
	4.54	3.75	1.70	Watch
	4.8	3.5	1.7
	5.44	3.8	1.74	Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (3.85)	3.61 ↑ (3.29)	1.7 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Panama
19.6%

Draw
25.7%

Mexico
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

28.6%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mexico's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Panama - Mexico Predictions

Users Predictions: Mexico will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mexico will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gunn J. (G) New England Revolution 4. Aparicio D. Real Espana 16. Galvan K. Sporting San Miguelito 3. Peralta R. Deportivo La Guaira 13. Cordoba O. Plaza Amador 20. Murillo J. (C) Plaza Amador 6. Hurtado H. Independiente 11. Herbert G. Athletico-PR 18. Barria K. Botafogo RJ 10. Phillips R. Plaza Amador 23. Arroyo A. Academia del Balompie	12. Rangel R. (G) Guadalajara Chivas 27. Ledezma R. Guadalajara Chivas 4. Guzman V. Monterrey 26. Gonzalez B. Guadalajara Chivas 21. Aguila E. Atletico San Luis 7. Romo L. (C) Guadalajara Chivas 14. Ruiz M. Toluca 25. Alvarado R. Guadalajara Chivas 18. Vargas O. Seattle Sounders 24. Gutierrez B. Guadalajara Chivas 17. Berterame G. Monterrey
Substitutes
2. Asprilla L. Tauro 7. Caicedo A. Independiente 25. Davis O. Independiente 15. Gutierrez J. Deportivo La Guaira 14. Hall J. Herrera 9. Herrera G. Saprissa 8. Knight A. Plaza Amador 19. Lenis K. Jaguares de Cordoba 24. Rivera J. Marathon 12. Roberts E. (G) Independiente 21. Sanchez M. 5. Welch J. Monagas	28. Acevedo C. (G) Santos Laguna 19. Castaneda K. Club Tijuana 22. del Villar E. Toluca 20. Fimbres I. Monterrey 23. Gallardo J. Toluca 5. Garcia D. Juarez 13. Gonzalez A. Guadalajara Chivas 11. Gutierrez Torres A. H. Club America 15. Juarez R. Club America 16. Lainez D. Tigres UANL 6. Lira E. Cruz Azul 1. Malagon L. (G) Club America 3. Reyes I. Club America 8. Rodriguez C. Cruz Azul 2. Sanchez J. Cruz Azul 9. Sepulveda A. Guadalajara Chivas
Coaches
Christiansen T.	Aguirre J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Aparicio D. 🟨,
36', Romo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Phillips R. ↓, Caicedo A. ↑,
46', Arroyo A. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
57', Alvarado R. ↓, Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↑,
57', Gutierrez B. ↓, Castaneda K. ↑,
57', Vargas O. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
66', Barria K. ↓, Herrera G. ↑,
66', Hurtado H. ↓, Knight A. ↑,
67', Berterame G. ↓, Lira E. ↑,
67', Ruiz M. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
71', Castaneda K. 🟨,
73', Herbert G. ↓, Lenis K. ↑,
80', Cordoba O. ↓, Asprilla L. ↑,
85', Gonzalez B. ↓, Gallardo J. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 1, Rodriguez C. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panama won 0.

Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mexico is a strong favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Panama won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 10:27. (average 0.5:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panama
Friendly
18.01.26	Bolivia - Panama	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
18.11.25	Panama - Salvador	3:0 ✺
13.11.25	Guatemala - Panama	2:3 ✺
14.10.25	Panama - Suriname	1:1 ✺
10.10.25	Salvador - Panama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWTW
- Mexico
Friendly
18.11.25	Mexico - Paraguay	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Mexico - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
14.10.25	Mexico - Ecuador	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Mexico - Colombia	0:4 ✺
09.09.25	Mexico - South Korea	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
23.03.25	Mexico - Panama	2:1
21.03.24	Panama - Mexico	0:3
Gold Cup
16.07.23	Mexico - Panama	1:0
CONCACAF Nations League
18.06.23	Panama - Mexico	0:1
FIFA World Cup
02.02.22	Mexico - Panama	1:0
08.09.21	Panama - Mexico	1:1
Friendly
30.06.21	Mexico - Panama	3:0

Panama - Mexico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide