Match Info

Friendly International Women

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes (Mexico City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Mexico	TVC Deportes
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Mexico W		Brazil W

	1	X	2
	4.35	4.13	1.67
	5.74	2.84	1.79	Watch
	4	3.6	1.65
	4.56	3.92	1.6	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (3.07)	3.6 ↓ (3.65)	1.71 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mexico W
20.8%

Draw
25.6%

Brazil W
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

24.9%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mexico W's form might have worsened.

Brazil W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brazil W's recent form is better than expected.

Mexico W - Brazil W Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Mexico (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mexico (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Barreras E. (G) Pachuca 3. Gutierrez I. Cruz Azul 7. Farmer A. Tigres UANL 14. Espinoza G. Tigres UANL 18. Reyes R. Portland Thorns FC 6. Soto A. Monterrey 4. Bernal R. (C) Washington Spirit 8. Delgado A. Tigres UANL 11. Ovalle L. Orlando Pride 10. Palacios K. Club America 5. Camberos S. Club America	12. Lele (G) Corinthians 20. Mariza Tigres UANL 15. Thais Ferreira Corinthians 3. Tarciane Lyon 6. Yasmim Real Madrid 16. Bia Zaneratto (C) Palmeiras 8. Duda Sampaio Corinthians 10. Kerolin Manchester City 26. Aline Gomes Pachuca 11. Jheniffer Tigres UANL 7. Taina Maranhao Palmeiras
Substitutes
15. Casarez J. A. Guadalajara Chivas 9. Corral V. Pachuca 12. Felix Castro B. M. (G) Guadalajara Chivas 22. Garcia D. Monterrey 20. Hernandez N. Club America 16. Nieto K. Pachuca 13. Ordonez D. Tigres UANL 2. Robles K. Pachuca 23. Rodriguez K. Club America 19. Saldivar M. Club America 1. Santiago A. (G) Tigres UANL 17. Servin F. Monterrey	18. Adriana Leal Al Qadisiyah 21. Ana Vitoria Corinthians 23. Brena Carolina Palmeiras 24. Claudia (G) Cruzeiro 14. Fe Palermo Palmeiras 9. Gabi Zanotti Corinthians 19. Geyse Club America 17. Jaqueline Ribeiro Corinthians 4. Lauren Leal Atl. Madrid 1. Lima T. (G) SL Benfica 5. Luana Bertolucci Orlando Pride 22. Luany Atl. Madrid 13. Tamires Corinthians
Coaches
Lopez P.	Ribas Elias A. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Tarciane 🟨,
8', Bernal R. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Reyes R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tarciane ↓, Lauren Leal ↑,
50', Farmer A. 🟨,
58', Reyes R. ↓, Hernandez N. ↑,
59', Farmer A. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
66', Palacios K. ↓, Corral V. ↑,
66', Soto A. ↓, Nieto K. ↑,
66', Aline Gomes ↓, Adriana Leal ↑,
66', Bia Zaneratto ↓, Brena Carolina ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Espinoza G. ⚽, Corral V. (A),
78', Kerolin ↓, Ana Vitoria ↑,
80', Ovalle L. ↓, Saldivar M. ↑,
80', Gutierrez I. ↓, Robles K. ↑,
88', Jheniffer ↓, Luany ↑,
88', Thais Ferreira ↓, Luana Bertolucci ↑,
90+5', Lauren Leal 🟨,

Preview

Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brazil is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:19. (average 0:4.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico W
Friendly International Women
02.12.25	Costa Rica W - Mexico W	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Mexico W - New Zealand W	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Mexico W - New Zealand W	1:0 ✺
02.07.25	Mexico W - Colombia W	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	Mexico W - Colombia W	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWT
- Brazil W
Friendly International Women
27.02.26	Costa Rica W - Brazil W	2:5 ✺
02.12.25	Portugal W - Brazil W	0:5 ✺
28.11.25	Norway W - Brazil W	3:1 ✺
28.10.25	Italy W - Brazil W	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	England W - Brazil W	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Gold Cup Women
06.03.24	Brazil W - Mexico W	3:0
Friendly International Women
15.12.19	Brazil W - Mexico W	4:0
12.12.19	Brazil W - Mexico W	6:0
13.12.15	Brazil W - Mexico W	6:0

Mexico W - Brazil W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide