Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 13

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Mezzolara		Correggese

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.95	2.55
	2.53	2.95	2.65
	2.62	3	2.5
	2.7	2.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (1.98)	2.94 ↓ (3.18)	2.59 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mezzolara
34.7%

Draw
30.6%

Correggese
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.4%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.9%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mezzolara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mezzolara's form might have worsened.

Correggese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Correggese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mezzolara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correggese than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Correggese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mezzolara won 1.

Recent matches Mezzolara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Correggese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mezzolara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mezzolara won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Mezzolara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Mezzolara
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.11.22	Mezzolara - Forlì	1:0 ✺
01.11.22	Crema - Mezzolara	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Mezzolara - Prato	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	SantAngelo - Mezzolara	2:0 ✺
12.10.22	Mezzolara - Lentigione	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLW
- Correggese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.11.22	Correggese - AC Carpi	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Bagnolese - Correggese	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
30.10.22	Prato - Correggese	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	Correggese - Aglianese	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Crema - Correggese	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
20.02.22	Correggese - Mezzolara	2:1
16.10.21	Mezzolara - Correggese	1:2
07.03.21	Mezzolara - Correggese	2:2
06.12.20	Correggese - Mezzolara	2:1
24.11.19	Correggese - Mezzolara	1:3
29.03.18	Correggese - Mezzolara	1:2
12.11.17	Mezzolara - Correggese	1:2

Mezzolara - Correggese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide