Match Info

Super League - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Migori Youth		Kabati

	1	X	2
	1.96	2.79	4.59	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.33
	1.81	3.42	4.24
	1.73	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.62)	3.08 ↓ (3.3)	4.42 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Migori Youth
50%

Draw
29.5%

Kabati
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

27.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

28.6%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Migori Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Migori Youth's form might have worsened.

Kabati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Migori Youth than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Migori Youth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kabati than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Migori Youth - Kabati Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Migori Youth is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Migori	36	24	5	7	54:27	27	77
16	Kabati	36	9	8	19	29:50	-21	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Migori Youth FC
Kenyan Super League
22.12.25	Nzoia United - Migori Youth	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Kibera Black Stars - Migori Youth	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Migori Youth - Mombasa United	3:2 ✺
07.12.25	MOFA - Migori Youth	3:1 ✺
04.12.25	Migori Youth - Fortune Sacco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- Kabati FC
Kenyan Super League
21.12.25	Kabati - 3K	0:2 ✺
18.12.25	Kabati - Soy United	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Nzoia United - Kabati	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kabati - Kisumu All-Stars	2:0 ✺
03.12.25	Talanta - Kabati	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTWL

Migori Youth - Kabati: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide