Match Info

ITALY: PRIMAVERA 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday


	Milan U19		Fiorentina U19

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	4.2
	1.62	3.85	4.59
	1.74	3.92	4.37
	1.68	3.72	4.31
	1.68	3.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.3)	3.81 ↓ (4.5)	4.31 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan U19
54.8%

Draw
24%

Fiorentina U19
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19.8%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

18%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan U19's form might have worsened.

Fiorentina U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan U19 than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina U19 than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Milan U19 - Fiorentina U19 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Milan U19 will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Fiorentina U19 will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raveyre N. (G) 3. Bartesaghi D. 20. Caldara M. 9. Camarda F. 22. Eletu V. 19. Jimenez A. 6. Nsiala C. 28. Sala E. 11. Sia D. 5. Simic J. 18. Zeroli K.	22. Leonardelli P. (G) 4. Baroncelli L. 5. Biagetti C. 24. Braschi R. 26. Caprini M. . Castrovilli G. 29. Fortini N. 44. Harder J. 33. Ievoli M. 17. Romani L. 9. Sene F.
Substitutes
2. Bakoune A. 24. Bartoccioni A. (G) 30. Bonomi A. 23. Magni V. 4. Malaspina M. 16. Mancioppi T. 13. Paloschi D. 15. Parmiggiani P. 17. Scotti F. 32. Simmelhack A. 14. Skoczylas M.	7. Denes A. 6. Dolfi B. (G) 14. Gudelevicius E. 23. Maggini F. 77. Mendoza W. 19. Rubino T. 15. Sadotti E. 3. Scuderi G. 11. Spaggiari R. 2. Vigiani L. 8. Vitolo F.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan U19 won 0.

Recent matches Milan U19 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fiorentina U19 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Milan U19 is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Milan U19 won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 21-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Milan U19 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milan U19
UEFA Youth League
28.02.24	Milan U19 - Braga U19	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Primavera 1
24.02.24	Milan U19 - Inter U19	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Genoa U19 - Milan U19	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Milan U19 - Sassuolo U19	3:3 ✺
04.02.24	Cagliari U19 - Milan U19	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTLTW
- Fiorentina U19
Italian Primavera 1
26.02.24	Fiorentina U19 - Bologna U19	5:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
21.02.24	Roma U19 - Fiorentina U19	1:1 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
17.02.24	Lazio U19 - Fiorentina U19	2:2 ✺
09.02.24	Fiorentina U19 - Juventus U19	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Verona U19 - Fiorentina U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Primavera
10.01.24	Fiorentina U19 - Milan U19	4:2
Italian Primavera 1
30.09.23	Fiorentina U19 - Milan U19	1:1
24.02.23	Milan U19 - Fiorentina U19	1:2
02.09.22	Fiorentina U19 - Milan U19	1:0
13.03.22	Fiorentina U19 - Milan U19	3:1
Coppa Italia Primavera
01.12.21	Fiorentina U19 - Milan U19	4:3
Italian Primavera 1
31.10.21	Milan U19 - Fiorentina U19	0:1

Milan U19 - Fiorentina U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide