Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 7

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara (Milan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Milan U20		Monza U20

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	1.98	3.45	3.1
	2.23	3.68	2.9
	2.15	3.61	3.00	Watch
	1.92	3.52	3.41
	2.05	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.68)	3.51 ↓ (3.82)	3.05 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan U20
44.2%

Draw
26%

Monza U20
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

24.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan U20's form might have worsened.

Monza U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monza U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan U20 than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza U20 than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monza U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Milan U20 - Monza U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Bouyer L. P. (G) 39. Nolli L. 20. Zukic D. 33. Colombo F. 29. Perera N. 7. La Mantia S. 6. Pandolfi F. 28. Plazzotta F. 45. Scotti F. (C) 22. Ossola L. 80. Castiello A.	43. Strajnar A. (G) 55. Zanni M. 4. Villa M. 3. Azarovs T. 33. Albe S. 11. Attinasi M. 24. Ballabio N. 14. Diene A. 19. Mout M. 39. De Bonis A. 90. Fogliaro C.
Substitutes
79. Cisse M. 77. Cullotta A. 13. Del Forno L. 1. Faccioli P. (G) 8. Mancioppi T. 5. Pagliei M. 70. Petrone D. . Samb D. S. 3. Tartaglia E. 95. Vechiu C. 27. Zaramella M.	2. Bagnaschi A. 8. Buonaiuto M. 22. Castelli D. 17. Fardin G. 77. Ganci D. 9. Gaye M. 12. Montagna J. (G) 95. Porta M. 6. Romanini A. 80. Rossini L. 7. Scaramelli E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Zanni M. ↓, Gaye M. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, La Mantia S. ⚽,
53', 1 - 1, Ballabio N. ⚽,
58', Azarovs T. 🟨,
65', De Bonis A. ↓, Scaramelli E. ↑,
73', Castiello A. ↓, Samb D. S. ↑,
75', Fogliaro C. ↓, Romanini A. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Azarovs T. ⚽,
77', Pandolfi F. ↓, Mancioppi T. ↑,
85', La Mantia S. ↓, Zaramella M. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Plazzotta F. ⚽,
89', Attinasi M. ↓, Fardin G. ↑,
89', Mout M. ↓, Castelli D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Milan U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Milan U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Milan U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan U20
Italian Primavera 1
27.09.25	Cremonese U20 - Milan U20	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Milan U20 - Frosinone U20	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Cagliari U20 - Milan U20	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Milan U20 - Genoa U20	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Milan U20 - Sassuolo U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWLL
- Monza U20
Italian Primavera 1
27.09.25	Monza U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Lazio U20 - Monza U20	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Lecce U20 - Monza U20	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Monza U20 - Cagliari U20	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Verona U20 - Monza U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
14.04.25	Milan U20 - Monza U20	1:1
21.12.24	Monza U20 - Milan U20	0:2

Milan U20 - Monza U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide