Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Minyor (Pernik)


	Minyor Pernik		Ludogorets II

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.05
	2.42	3.15	2.86
	2.29	2.75	3.56	Watch
	2.06	3.22	3.31	Watch
	2.07	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.87)	3.06 ↓ (3.35)	3.19 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minyor Pernik
41.5%

Draw
29.8%

Ludogorets II
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

26.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minyor Pernik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minyor Pernik's form might have worsened.

Ludogorets II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minyor Pernik than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minyor Pernik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Minyor Pernik - Ludogorets II Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Minyor Pernik will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ludogorets II will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Minyor Pernik (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Minyor Pernik (votes: 1 - 50%). Ludogorets II (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goshev I. (G) 3. Chilikov P. 20. Marinov L. 39. Orachev M. 30. Romanyuk E. 15. Tarasenko D. 2. Todorov S. 21. Vasilev V. 22. Vutsov P. 9. Yordanov P. 13. Yordanov Y.	67. Hristov D. (G) 90. Kirev P. 59. Lukanov A. 34. Nikolov N. 81. Penev G. 32. Pipa 25. Rodriguez E. 42. Shishkov S. 80. Stefanov M. 98. Yanev N. 82. Yordanov I.
Substitutes
24. Hristov V. 6. Ivanov 91. Mihaylov A. (G) 18. Mihaylov Y. 5. Mihov A. 4. Orachev M. 17. Simeonov K. 8. Simeonov S. 25. Yanchev M.	76. Dimitrov K. 83. Ivanov R. 51. Karchev V. 40. Marinov A. 97. Nikolov K. 69. Stoimenov Z. (G) 75. Syrov E. 58. Valekov A. 93. Yordanov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 0 - 1, ⚽,
71', 🟨,
84', 0 - 2, ⚽,
87', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minyor Pernik won 1.

Minyor Pernik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ludogorets II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Minyor Pernik is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Minyor Pernik won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Minyor Pernik won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minyor Pernik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.09.25	Yantra Gabrovo - Minyor Pernik	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Minyor Pernik - Fratria	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Sevlievo - Minyor Pernik	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Minyor Pernik - Sportist Svoge	3:1 ✺
01.09.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Minyor Pernik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLWWW
- Ludogorets II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.09.25	Ludogorets II - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Yantra Gabrovo - Ludogorets II	1:0 ✺
15.09.25	Ludogorets II - Belasitsa Petrich	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Fratria - Ludogorets II	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Ludogorets II - Dunav Ruse	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.04.25	Minyor Pernik - Ludogorets II	1:1
23.10.24	Ludogorets II - Minyor Pernik	5:1
12.02.23	Ludogorets II - Minyor Pernik	1:0
16.07.22	Minyor Pernik - Ludogorets II	5:1
01.12.21	Ludogorets II - Minyor Pernik	1:1
26.07.21	Minyor Pernik - Ludogorets II	3:1
16.02.21	Minyor Pernik - Ludogorets II	0:0

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