Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 23

Date: 17 March 2023, Friday


	Minyor Pernik		Vitosha Bistritsa

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.45	4.3
	1.66	3.4	4.7
	1.7	3.57	4.22
	1.75	3.45	4.45	Watch
	1.7	3.45	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.52)	3.46 ↓ (3.65)	4.45 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minyor Pernik
53.6%

Draw
26.1%

Vitosha Bistritsa
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

24.8%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

16%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minyor Pernik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minyor Pernik's form might have worsened.

Vitosha Bistritsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minyor Pernik than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minyor Pernik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitosha Bistritsa than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Minyor Pernik - Vitosha Bistritsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Minyor Pernik will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Vitosha will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minyor Pernik: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Minyor Pernik is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Minyor Pernik won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minyor Pernik
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
11.03.23	Montana - Minyor Pernik	1:1 ✺
05.03.23	Minyor Pernik - Botev Plovdiv II	3:0 ✺
25.02.23	Krumovgrad - Minyor Pernik	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Minyor Pernik - Dobrudzha Dobrich	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Ludogorets II - Minyor Pernik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLLL
- Vitosha Bistritsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
11.03.23	Vitosha Bistritsa - Belasitsa Petrich	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Sportist Svoge - Vitosha Bistritsa	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Vitosha Bistritsa	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Vitosha Bistritsa - Montana	1:4 ✺
12.02.23	Botev Plovdiv II - Vitosha Bistritsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
19.08.22	Vitosha Bistritsa - Minyor Pernik	1:1

Minyor Pernik - Vitosha Bistritsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide