Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio São Sebastião (Mirandela)


	Mirandela		Chaves B

	1	X	2
	2.62	3	2.48
	2.73	2.93	2.59	Watch
	2.52	3.39	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.45)	3.11 ↓ (3.3)	2.55 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandela
34.8%

Draw
29.4%

Chaves B
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Chaves B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Mirandela - Chaves B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Mirandela has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chaves B is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mirandela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Mirandela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Mirandela
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.11.25	Limianos - Mirandela	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Mirandela - Desportivo Monção	1:0 ✺
22.10.25	Vilaverdense - Mirandela	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.25	Caldas - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.10.25	Mirandela - Bragança	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLLW
- Desportivo Chaves B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.11.25	Chaves B - Ribeira Brava	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Celoricense - Chaves B	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	Chaves B - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Camacha - Chaves B	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Chaves B - Machico	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.01.20	Chaves B - Mirandela	4:1
17.02.19	Mirandela - Chaves B	1:0

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