Match Info

Date: 23 May 2021, Sunday


	Mirandela		Vitoria Guimarães B

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	1.95
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.55	3.1	1.98
	3.85	3.2	2.04
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.52	3.3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.46)	3.22 ↓ (3.46)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandela
25.5%

Draw
28.4%

Vitoria Guimarães B
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Vitoria Guimarães B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirandela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches SC Mirandela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guimarães B in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

SC Mirandela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guimarães B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SC Mirandela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Mirandela
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.05.21	Mirandela - Fafe	0:1 ✺
09.05.21	Mirandela - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
02.05.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Mirandela	4:1 ✺
23.04.21	Fafe - Mirandela	2:2 ✺
11.04.21	Merelinense - Mirandela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLTT
- Vitoria Guimarães B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.05.21	Maria da Fonte - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:3 ✺
08.05.21	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
02.05.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Mirandela	4:1 ✺
24.04.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Maria da Fonte	3:1 ✺
10.04.21	Mondinense - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.05.21	Vitoria Guimarães B - Mirandela	4:1

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