Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 22

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Strandvallen (Hällevik)

Referee: Klitte F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4


	Mjällby		GAIS

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.5	2.4
	2.70	3.50	2.40
	2.68	3.4	2.48
	2.74	3.6	2.53
	2.68	3.6	2.49	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.45
	2.67	3.42	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.72)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)	2.45 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjällby
35.1%

Draw
26.7%

GAIS
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

26.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

26.6%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

GAIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Mjällby - GAIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mjällby will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). GAIS will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wallinder R. (G) 24. Pettersson T. 26. Hoffmann I. 4. Noren A. 5. Iqbal A. 14. Granath V. 7. Gustafson V. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 29. Lindberg O. 18. Bergstrom J. 9. Youssef A.	1. Krasniqi M. (C) 34. Collander D. 12. Frej R. 24. Beckman F. 2. de Brienne M. 8. Milovanovic W. 7. Fagerjord J. 10. Sletsjoe H. 16. Andersson M. 21. Vasic N. 11. Niklasson R.
Substitutes
39. Arrhenius R. 6. Enggaard M. 1. Hansen S. (G) 10. Kjaer J. 33. Miettinen T. 25. Nielsen M. 23. Samuelsen A. 2. Svanberg L. 27. Tidstrand L.	27. Bawa M. 22. Cardaklija A. 33. Hermansen A. (G) 14. Jorgensen S. 25. Lindberg J. 32. Pettersson O. 20. Salter S. 6. Wangberg A. 5. Wendin Thomasson R.
Coaches
Brannstrom A.	Holmberg F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Fagerjord J. ⚽,
34', Iqbal A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Pettersson T. 🟨,
54', 0 - 2, Vasic N. ⚽, Collander D. (A),
55', Lindberg O. ↓, Kjaer J. ↑,
55', Hoffmann I. ↓, Samuelsen A. ↑,
59', 0 - 3, Vasic N. ⚽,
64', Samuelsen A. 🟨,
67', Gustafson V. ↓, Enggaard M. ↑,
69', Collander D. ↓, Cardaklija A. ↑,
69', Fagerjord J. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
69', Andersson M. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
77', Cardaklija A. 🟨,
79', Vasic N. ↓, Salter S. ↑,
80', Bergstrom J. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
80', Granath V. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
86', Milovanovic W. ↓, Bawa M. ↑,
88', Gustavsson J. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Mjällby (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

GAIS has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

GAIS could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Mjällby has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:11 (averaging 1.7:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mjällby against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:2 goals (averaging 2:0.3 per game).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

GAIS: 0.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	GAIS	22	8	6	8	28:20	8	30
12	Mjallby	22	5	7	10	27:38	-11	22

Last Results with these Odds

Mjällby - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.89%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.09.26	AIK - Mjällby	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Häcken - Mjällby	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Mjällby - IFK Göteborg	1:4 ✺
03.09.26	Mjällby - Djurgården	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Djurgården - Mjällby	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLL
- GAIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.09.26	Djurgården - GAIS	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	GAIS - Häcken	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	GAIS - Brommapojkarna	4:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
27.08.26	Husqvarna - GAIS	0:7 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.08.26	Hammarby - GAIS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
23.04.26	GAIS - Mjällby	0:0
Svenska Cupen
22.03.26	Mjällby - GAIS	3:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.08.25	GAIS - Mjällby	0:2
06.04.25	Mjällby - GAIS	1:1
26.10.24	Mjällby - GAIS	1:1
21.04.24	GAIS - Mjällby	2:1
Swedish Superettan
11.08.19	GAIS - Mjällby	1:2

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