Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 6 - ROUND 21

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Mjølner		Sarpsborg 2

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.59	3.54
	1.72	4.4	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.52)	4.5 ↑ (4.36)	3.54 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjølner
54.2%

Draw
20.2%

Sarpsborg 2
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

20.6%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

19.5%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjølner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Sarpsborg 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sarpsborg 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjølner than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mjølner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarpsborg 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 11).

Mjølner in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sarpsborg 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mjølner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mjølner will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Mjølner to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mjølner won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjølner
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
17.09.23	Nordstrand - Mjølner	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Asker Fotball - Mjølner	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Mjølner - Oppsal	3:2 ✺
12.08.23	Skånland - Mjølner	0:2 ✺
05.08.23	Mjølner - Fløya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWWWT
- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
18.09.23	Sarpsborg 2 - Tromsø 2	1:0 ✺
11.09.23	Skeid 2 - Sarpsborg 2	2:3 ✺
02.09.23	Sarpsborg 2 - Fløya	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	Lørenskog - Sarpsborg 2	2:0 ✺
21.08.23	Follo - Sarpsborg 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
29.07.23	Sarpsborg 2 - Mjølner	0:3

Mjølner - Sarpsborg 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide