Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday


	Mjøndalen 2		Åskollen

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.93	7.3
	1.25	6.27	7.85	Watch
	1.3	6	5.5
	1.2	6.7	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (2.17)	6.23 ↑ (4.05)	7.29 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen 2
72.9%

Draw
14.6%

Åskollen
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

22.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

21.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mjøndalen 2's performance.

Åskollen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Åskollen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen 2 than the current prediction. (-33.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mjøndalen 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Åskollen than the current prediction. (+25.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Åskollen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	4.5%	4.5%

Mjøndalen 2 - Åskollen Predictions

Users Predictions: Mjøndalen 2 will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Njie N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 0 - 2, Njie N. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Niwar B. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Mjøndalen 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Åskollen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Åskollen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Mjøndalen 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
24.08.24	Flint - Mjøndalen 2	3:0 ✺
20.08.24	Mjøndalen 2 - Frigg Oslo	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	Gamle Oslo - Mjøndalen 2	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Mjøndalen 2 - Oppsal	3:0 ✺
06.07.24	Bærum - Mjøndalen 2	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33 LLLWL
- Åskollen FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
26.08.24	Åskollen - Skeid 2	0:7 ✺
17.08.24	Flint - Åskollen	3:2 ✺
10.08.24	Åskollen - Åssiden	1:2 ✺
14.07.24	Åskollen - Gamle Oslo	1:8 ✺
06.07.24	Ullern - Åskollen	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
12.05.24	Åskollen - Mjøndalen 2	2:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
14.08.23	Mjøndalen 2 - Åskollen	4:1

Mjøndalen 2 - Åskollen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide