Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 4 - ROUND 19

Date: 11 September 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Mjøndalen 2		Sandefjord 2

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.7	4.6
	1.4	5.1	4.79
	1.33	4.8	5.8
	1.34	5.85	5.9
	1.78	4.5	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (2.4)	4.99 ↑ (3.77)	4.87 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen 2
62.9%

Draw
18.3%

Sandefjord 2
18.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

23.7%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

23%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mjøndalen 2's performance.

Sandefjord 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sandefjord 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen 2 than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mjøndalen 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord 2 than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sandefjord 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Mjøndalen 2 - Sandefjord 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Mjøndalen 2 will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Sandefjord 2 will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjøndalen 2: 69.5% – 100%.

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Mjøndalen 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sandefjord 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sandefjord 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mjøndalen 2 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
04.09.23	Halsen - Mjøndalen 2	2:0 ✺
28.08.23	Mjøndalen 2 - Start 2	4:1 ✺
19.08.23	Sprint-Jeloy - Mjøndalen 2	6:0 ✺
14.08.23	Mjøndalen 2 - Åskollen	4:1 ✺
06.08.23	Vindbjart - Mjøndalen 2	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLWT
- Sandefjord 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
04.09.23	Sandefjord 2 - Eik-Tønsberg	0:5 ✺
26.08.23	Pors - Sandefjord 2	4:1 ✺
21.08.23	Sandefjord 2 - Halsen	3:2 ✺
14.08.23	Randesund - Sandefjord 2	2:0 ✺
07.08.23	Sandefjord 2 - Fredrikstad 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
24.07.23	Sandefjord 2 - Mjøndalen 2	3:1

Mjøndalen 2 - Sandefjord 2