Match Info

Date: 4 October 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Mjøndalen 2		Tønsberg

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.75
	3.65	3.85	1.65
	3.45	3.55	1.8
	3.86	3.68	1.88
	3.6	3.5	1.83
	3.42	4.15	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (5.7)	3.72 ↓ (4.5)	1.79 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen 2
25.1%

Draw
24.3%

Tønsberg
50.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.8%

20.1%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

16.9%

76.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mjøndalen 2's performance.

Tønsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tønsberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen 2 than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mjøndalen 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tønsberg than the current prediction. (+25.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tønsberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 and 2).

Recent matches Mjøndalen 2 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tønsberg in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tønsberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tønsberg is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mjøndalen 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
27.09.21	Hønefoss - Mjøndalen 2	2:2 ✺
20.09.21	Mjøndalen 2 - Ørn-Horten	0:2 ✺
13.09.21	Mjøndalen 2 - Strømsgodset 2	2:1 ✺
04.09.21	Halsen - Mjøndalen 2	3:2 ✺
30.08.21	Mjøndalen 2 - Fredrikstad 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWLW
- Tønsberg
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
26.09.21	Tønsberg - Strømsgodset 2	2:2 ✺
22.09.21	Tønsberg - Oppsal	4:1 ✺
18.09.21	Åssiden - Tønsberg	0:4 ✺
13.09.21	Sarpsborg 2 - Tønsberg	1:2 ✺
28.08.21	Kråkerøy - Tønsberg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
26.08.19	Tønsberg - Mjøndalen 2	4:2
27.05.19	Mjøndalen 2 - Tønsberg	0:1

Mjøndalen 2 - Tønsberg

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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