Match Info

Date: 28 September 2022, Wednesday


	Mladost Donja Gorica		OFK Nikšić

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	6
	1.3	4.56	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.53)	4.28 ↑ (3.5)	7.2 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mladost Donja Gorica
66.5%

Draw
21%

OFK Nikšić
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

25.4%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mladost Donja Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mladost Donja Gorica's performance.

OFK Nikšić has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladost Donja Gorica than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mladost Donja Gorica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Nikšić than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Mladost Donja Gorica - OFK Nikšić Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mladost Donja Gorica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). OFK Nikšić will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mladost Donja Gorica: 15.4% – 84.6%.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva Crnogorska Liga and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

OFK Nikšić could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mladost Donja Gorica is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mladost Donja Gorica
Montenegrin Druga Liga
24.09.22	Igalo - Mladost Donja Gorica	0:0 ✺
15.09.22	Mladost Donja Gorica - Berane	3:2 ✺
11.09.22	Mladost Donja Gorica - Bokelj	0:0 ✺
Montenegrin Cup
07.09.22	Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje - Mladost Donja Gorica	3:1 ✺
Montenegrin Druga Liga
04.09.22	Otrant - Mladost Donja Gorica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTLW
- OFK Nikšić
Montenegrin Druga Liga
24.09.22	OFK Nikšić - Otrant	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	OFK Nikšić - Podgorica	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Zeta - OFK Nikšić	3:1 ✺
28.08.22	OFK Nikšić - Grbalj Radanovici	2:1 ✺
21.08.22	Bokelj - OFK Nikšić	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLWL

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