Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 11

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Mladosti u Lučanima (Lučani) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lukic L. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Kosovo	20:00	Arena Premium 3
North Macedonia	20:00	Arena Premium 3
Serbia	20:00	Arena Premium 3


	Mladost Lučani		OFK Beograd

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.15	2.85	Watch
	2.51	3.2	2.93
	2.4	3.26	2.94	Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.9
	2.33	3.34	2.94	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.56)	3.22 ↓ (3.33)	2.9 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mladost Lučani
39.3%

Draw
28.8%

OFK Beograd
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

27.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mladost Lučani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

OFK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladost Lučani than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Mladost Lučani - OFK Beograd Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mladost Lučani will win (votes: 2 - 40%). OFK will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.05) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stamenkovic S. (G) 17. Varjacic A. 7. Andric N. 30. Cirkovic N. (C) 33. Jovanovic V. 37. Mladenovic F. 88. Tasovski V. 32. Jovicic B. 29. Jovancic D. 22. Todosijevic M. 39. John Mary	97. Stojisic N. (G) 47. Stojkovic S. 4. Pavlovic A. (C) 15. Maras N. 2. Despotovski S. 14. Momcilovic M. 3. Addo E. 19. Rankovic D. 6. Pena S. 27. Aderoju H. 9. Hoard E.
Substitutes
9. Bojic P. 14. Bondarenko T. 25. Ciric J. 40. Cirovic N. 44. Cvetkovic M. 36. Djokic D. 12. Joksimovic M. 10. Krsmanovic O. 24. Markovic V. 27. Radic N. 99. Samcovic Z. (G)	17. Besic M. 11. De Barr T. 31. Draskic V. (G) 77. Gobeljic M. 23. Rodic M. 20. Sljivic J. 24. Stojanovic U. 18. Toure H. 91. Vasilic A. 45. Vukicevic A. 7. Wouter T.
Coaches
Curcic R.	Batak R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Varjacic A. 🟨,
63', John Mary ↓, Ciric J. ↑,
68', Addo E. 🟨,
71', Stojkovic S. ↓, Vukicevic A. ↑,
77', Jovicic B. 🟨,
79', Rankovic D. ↓, Vasilic A. ↑,
81', Aderoju H. 🟨,
84', Tasovski V. ↓, Bojic P. ↑,
87', Aderoju H. ↓, De Barr T. ↑,
90+2', Jovicic B. ↓, Bondarenko T. ↑,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 11th in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladost Lučani won 0.

Mladost Lučani has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

OFK is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Mladost Lučani has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:10 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mladost Lučani against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Mladost	13	4	6	3	12:18	-6	18
11	OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet	13	2	5	6	14:23	-9	11

Outrights of Serbian Superliga for now

OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet: 0.47%

Last Results with these Odds

OFK Beograd - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.86%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mladost Lučani
Serbian Superliga
20.09.26	Mačva Šabac - Mladost Lučani	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Radnički 1923 - Mladost Lučani	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Mladost Lučani - Radnički Niš	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	IMT Novi Beograd - Mladost Lučani	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Mladost Lučani - Partizan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWLW
- OFK Beograd
Serbian Superliga
19.09.26	OFK Beograd - Radnički 1923	3:5 ✺
13.09.26	Radnički Niš - OFK Beograd	3:1 ✺
07.09.26	OFK Beograd - IMT Novi Beograd	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Partizan - OFK Beograd	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	OFK Beograd - Zemun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
01.02.26	Mladost Lučani - OFK Beograd	0:0
23.08.25	OFK Beograd - Mladost Lučani	1:1
11.05.25	OFK Beograd - Mladost Lučani	1:0
24.11.24	OFK Beograd - Mladost Lučani	0:0
20.07.24	Mladost Lučani - OFK Beograd	1:2
15.05.16	Mladost Lučani - OFK Beograd	3:1
16.12.15	Mladost Lučani - OFK Beograd	0:0

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