Match Info

LDF - Round 16

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Dominican-republic	CDN Deportes


	Moca		Atlántico

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.59	3.68	4.84
	1.6	3.8	5.01	Watch
	1.56	3.6	5.48
	1.81	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.81)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	4.77 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moca
55.8%

Draw
25%

Atlántico
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

25.3%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

24.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moca's performance.

Atlántico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlántico might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moca than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlántico than the current prediction. (+4%)

Moca - Atlántico Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Ascona G. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
82', Gonzalez M. 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LDF (Winners stage: ) and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moca won 3.

Moca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlántico has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Moca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Moca is a strong favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Moca won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Moca won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moca FC
Dominican Republic LDF
30.11.25	Salcedo - Moca	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Delfines del Este - Moca	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Moca - Atlético Vega Real	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Don Bosco Jarabacoa - Moca	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Moca - Cibao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWTT
- Atlántico FC
Dominican Republic LDF
23.11.25	Atlético Vega Real - Atlántico	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Atlántico - Cibao	0:5 ✺
01.11.25	Atlético Pantoja - Atlántico	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Atlántico - Salcedo	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Delfines del Este - Atlántico	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Dominican Republic LDF
21.09.25	Atlántico - Moca	3:1
Dominican Republic Copa de la LDF
22.04.25	Moca - Atlántico	3:1
Dominican Republic LDF
18.08.24	Atlántico - Moca	2:2
27.07.24	Moca - Atlántico	2:1
23.06.24	Atlántico - Moca	0:1
15.05.24	Moca - Atlántico	1:0
13.04.24	Atlántico - Moca	2:2

Moca - Atlántico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide