Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL South Australia - Round 4

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Modbury Jets		Campbelltown City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.7	2.25
	2.7	3.9	2.1	Watch
	2.84	4.21	2.11	Watch
	2.9	3.7	2.05
	2.88	3.76	2.19	Watch
	2.7	3.9	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.25)	3.86 ↑ (3.6)	2.13 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modbury Jets
33.2%

Draw
23.8%

Campbelltown City
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

23.7%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modbury Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Modbury Jets's form might have worsened.

Campbelltown City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Campbelltown City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modbury Jets than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campbelltown City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Campbelltown City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Modbury Jets - Campbelltown City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Marino M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Marino M. ⚽,
65', 0 - 3, Marino M. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ SA State League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Modbury won 0.

Recent matches Modbury is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Campbelltown City is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Campbelltown City have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Modbury won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 6:22 (average 0.6:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Modbury won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Modbury Jets
Australian NPL South Australian
16.03.25	Para Hills Knights - Modbury Jets	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Modbury Jets - Croydon	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Modbury Jets - Adelaide Comets	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.25	Adelaide City - Modbury Jets	0:2 ✺
24.01.25	Campbelltown City - Modbury Jets	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Campbelltown City SC
Australian NPL South Australian
16.03.25	Campbelltown City - Playford City Patriots	0:4 ✺
28.02.25	West Torrens Birkalla - Campbelltown City	3:3 ✺
21.02.25	Campbelltown City - North Eastern MetroStars	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.25	Campbelltown City - FK Beograd	0:1 ✺
24.01.25	Campbelltown City - Modbury Jets	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.01.25	Campbelltown City - Modbury Jets	2:1
Australian NPL South Australian
31.08.24	Campbelltown City - Modbury Jets	3:0
24.08.24	Modbury Jets - Campbelltown City	0:2
09.08.24	Campbelltown City - Modbury Jets	3:0
17.05.24	Modbury Jets - Campbelltown City	0:1
20.05.23	Campbelltown City - Modbury Jets	4:0
27.02.23	Modbury Jets - Campbelltown City	2:2

Modbury Jets - Campbelltown City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide