Match Info

Primavera 2 - Round 16

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Modena U19		Padova U19

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	3.9
	1.83	3.68	3.89
	1.73	3.78	4.01	Watch
	1.75	3.3	3.8
	1.72	3.6	4.13
	1.76	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.48)	3.59 ↓ (4)	3.92 ↓ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena U19
51.7%

Draw
25.2%

Padova U19
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

22.5%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.6%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Modena U19's form might have worsened.

Padova U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Padova U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena U19 than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova U19 than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Padova U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Modena U19 - Padova U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Primavera 2 (Play Out: )).

Modena U19 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Padova U19 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Modena U19 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Modena U19 is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Modena U19 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Modena U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Modena U19
Italian Primavera 2
17.01.26	Udinese U19 - Modena U19	3:3 ✺
10.01.26	Modena U19 - Südtirol U19	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Sampdoria U19 - Modena U19	5:1 ✺
13.12.25	Modena U19 - Como U19	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Cittadella U19 - Modena U19	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLLW
- Padova U19
Italian Primavera 2
10.01.26	AlbinoLeffe U19 - Padova U19	6:2 ✺
20.12.25	Padova U19 - Lecco U19	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Brescia U19 - Padova U19	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Padova U19 - Pro Vercelli U19	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	Südtirol U19 - Padova U19	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 2
13.09.25	Padova U19 - Modena U19	0:0
05.04.25	Padova U19 - Modena U19	1:1
26.10.24	Modena U19 - Padova U19	3:1

Modena U19 - Padova U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide