Match Info

MOROCCO: Botola Pro - Round 22

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Saniat Rmel (Tetouan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	SNRT Live


	Moghreb Tétouan		Difaa El Jadida

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.88	2.38
	3	2.8	2.37
	3.11	2.82	2.57
	3.03	2.84	2.46	Watch
	2.99	2.99	2.5	Watch
	3	2.8	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.57)	2.86 ↑ (2.83)	2.44 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moghreb Tétouan
30.5%

Draw
32.1%

Difaa El Jadida
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

32.1%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

30.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moghreb Tétouan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Difaa El Jadida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moghreb Tétouan than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moghreb Tétouan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Difaa El Jadida than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Difaa El Jadida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Moghreb Tétouan - Difaa El Jadida Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moghreb Tétouan will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Difaa El Jadida will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Tagnaouti A. R. (G) 97. Al Cheikhi M. 17. Amhih Y. 25. Benktib I. 24. Chabboud A. 9. Darai H. 5. El Fakih M. 88. Ghailan Z. 7. Kamal M. 90. Lakhal A. (C) 96. Rahim M.	1. Bessak M. (G) 5. Aguerdoum Y. 27. Arbidi Y. 3. Arjoune O. 11. Baba K. 2. Benchchaoui O. 8. Chichane M. 24. El Hassnaoui A. 15. Hadhoudi M. 13. Jerrari O. 4. Lemzaouri M. (C)
Substitutes
21. Ben Khajjou Z. 14. Eddaoudi D. E. 1. El Jourbaoui M. (G) 11. El Megri B. 26. Errahouli I. 57. Ilyass T. 19. Jaadi R. 27. Nahiri M. 74. Oulad Abdelouahab R.	23. Abaaziz S. 22. Abouzra M. Y. 91. El Yousfi M. (G) 17. Faris H. 10. Kpatai M. 7. Majji R. 31. Sahd M. 21. Taouile M.
Coaches
Benchrifa M.	Almeida R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Lakhal A. ⚽, Ghailan Z. (A),
22', Bessak M. ↓, El Yousfi M. ↑,
34', Hadhoudi M. 🟨,
45+1', Chabboud A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', El Hassnaoui A. ↓, Sahd M. ↑,
59', El Fakih M. ↓, Jaadi R. ↑,
60', Kamal M. ↓, Eddaoudi D. E. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Sahd M. ⚽,
68', 1 - 2, Sahd M. ⚽, Arbidi Y. (A),
74', Darai H. ↓, Ilyass T. ↑,
74', Ghailan Z. ↓, Oulad Abdelouahab R. ↑,
80', Chichane M. ↓, Faris H. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Baba K. ⚽, Arbidi Y. (A),
86', Rahim M. ↓, El Megri B. ↑,
88', Jerrari O. ↓, Abaaziz S. ↑,
89', El Hanoudi O. ↓, Benchchaoui O. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Botola 2 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moghreb Tétouan won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Difaa El Jadida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Moghreb Tétouan won 5 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:23 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Moghreb Tétouan won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moghreb Tétouan
Moroccan Botola
14.02.25	Hassania Agadir - Moghreb Tétouan	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Moghreb Tétouan - Union de Touarga	1:1 ✺
17.01.25	CODM de Meknès - Moghreb Tétouan	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Maghreb Fez - Moghreb Tétouan	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Moghreb Tétouan - Wydad Casablanca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TTLLL
- Difaa El Jadida
Moroccan Botola
16.02.25	Difaa El Jadida - Maghreb Fez	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Olympic Safi - Difaa El Jadida	0:0 ✺
Moroccan Excellence Cup
02.02.25	Difaa El Jadida - FUS Rabat	0:0 ✺
Moroccan Botola
26.01.25	FAR Rabat - Difaa El Jadida	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Difaa El Jadida - Wydad Casablanca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
22.10.24	Difaa El Jadida - Moghreb Tétouan	1:0
03.04.23	Difaa El Jadida - Moghreb Tétouan	0:0
15.10.22	Moghreb Tétouan - Difaa El Jadida	1:1
18.05.21	Difaa El Jadida - Moghreb Tétouan	2:2
13.12.20	Moghreb Tétouan - Difaa El Jadida	2:2
27.08.20	Difaa El Jadida - Moghreb Tétouan	2:0
21.12.19	Moghreb Tétouan - Difaa El Jadida	2:1

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