Match Info

INDIA: ISL - Round 5

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Kishore Bharati Krirangan (Kolkata)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Disney+ Hotstar, Sports18 2, Sports18 3, Sports18
World	JioTV app, Onefootball app


	Mohammedan Kolkata		Kerala Blasters

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.1	Watch
	2.87	3.3	2.2
	2.95	3.55	2.19
	3.13	3.51	2.24
	3.15	3.42	2.2
				Watch
	3.02	3.48	2.16	Watch
	2.95	3.55	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.41)	3.47 ↑ (3.43)	2.18 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mohammedan Kolkata
30.9%

Draw
26.7%

Kerala Blasters
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.9%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mohammedan Kolkata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mohammedan Kolkata's form might have worsened.

Kerala Blasters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kerala Blasters's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mohammedan Kolkata than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mohammedan Kolkata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kerala Blasters than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kerala Blasters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mohammedan Kolkata - Kerala Blasters Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chettri P. (G) 29. Lalremsanga 9. Franca 10. Gomez A. 22. Singh S. 34. Vanlalzuidika 11. Luwang W. 4. Kasimov M. 14. Ralte Z. (C) 28. Adjei J. 5. Bora G.	31. Kumar S. (G) 3. Singh S. 20. Kotal P. 29. Coeff A. 50. Singh N. 8. Mohanan V. 10. Luna A. (C) 32. Azhar M. 7. Kannoly R. 9. Jimenez J. 77. Sadaoui N.
Substitutes
19. Chote M. 16. Irshad M. 21. Khiangte L. 25. Mallick S. 17. Manzoki C. 69. Ogier F. 66. Parray S. 75. Robinson Singh S. 27. Roy B. (G)	15. Drincic M. 13. Farooq D. 2. Fernandes N. (G) 17. Mandal S. 22. Meitei S. 14. Peprah K. 4. Ruivah H. 5. Saheef M. 25. Singh K.
Coaches
Chernyshov A.	Stahre M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Vanlalzuidika 🟨,
20', Adjei J. ↓, Ogier F. ↑,
23', Azhar M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Kasimov M. (Pen),
45+3', Luna A. 🟨,
45+4', Azhar M. ↓, Farooq D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vanlalzuidika ↓, Mallick S. ↑,
57', Singh S. ↓, Chote M. ↑,
64', Kannoly R. ↓, Ruivah H. ↑,
64', Coeff A. ↓, Peprah K. ↑,
66', Franca 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Peprah K. ⚽, Sadaoui N. (A),
69', Gomez A. 🟨,
74', Luwang W. ↓, Irshad M. ↑,
74', Franca ↓, Manzoki C. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Jimenez J. ⚽, Singh N. (A),
90+3', Singh N. 🟨,
90+3', Kumar S. 🟨,
90+6', Mallick S. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ ISL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mohammedan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Including matches at home between the teams Mohammedan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mohammedan Kolkata
Indian ISL
05.10.24	ATK Mohun Bagan - Mohammedan Kolkata	3:0 ✺
26.09.24	Chennaiyin - Mohammedan Kolkata	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Mohammedan Kolkata - Goa	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Mohammedan Kolkata - NorthEast United	0:1 ✺
Calcutta Premier Division
22.08.24	Mohammedan Kolkata - Suruchi Sangha	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTLT
- Kerala Blasters
Indian ISL
03.10.24	Odisha - Kerala Blasters	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	NorthEast United - Kerala Blasters	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Kerala Blasters - East Bengal	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Kerala Blasters - Punjab	1:2 ✺
Indian Durand Cup
23.08.24	Bengaluru - Kerala Blasters	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Indian Durand Cup
09.09.22	Mohammedan Kolkata - Kerala Blasters	3:0

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