Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Mojados		Atlético Mansillés

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.85	2.1
	3.25	2.98	2.15
	3.28	2.97	2.25	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.22	3.12	2.29
	3.8	3.1	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.75)	2.99 ↓ (3.15)	2.16 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mojados
27.4%

Draw
30.5%

Atlético Mansillés
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

28.8%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

28%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mojados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Atlético Mansillés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mojados than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mansillés than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mansillés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mojados - Atlético Mansillés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).

Mojados is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mansillés's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mojados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mansillés will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mojados won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Mojados won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mansilles	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mojados
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
21.12.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Mojados	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Mojados - Numancia B	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Palencia CA - Mojados	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mojados - Villaralbo	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Colegios Diocesanos - Mojados	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLT
- Atlético Mansillés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
13.12.25	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Mansillés	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Mansillés - Becerril	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Arandina - Atlético Mansillés	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético Mansillés - Bembibre	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Mansillés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.05.25	Mojados - Atlético Mansillés	0:2
11.01.25	Atlético Mansillés - Mojados	4:1

Mojados - Atlético Mansillés: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide