Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 22

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Aker Stadion (Molde)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay


	Molde		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.75	6.5	Watch
	1.37	5.75	6.25
	1.36	4.75	8.2
	1.37	6.2	7.69
	1.38	5.64	6.69	Watch
	1.33	5.7	7.6
	1.37	5.89	6.66	Watch
	1.33	5.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	5.69 ↑ (5.4)	7 ↑ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molde
69.8%

Draw
16.6%

Aalesunds
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

17.3%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

16.4%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Molde - Aalesunds Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molde (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Molde (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Molde will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Molde (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Posiadala A. (G) 25. Linnes M. 6. Odegard N. 27. Dahl F. 26. Kabini S. 10. Breivik E. (C) 30. Daga D. 24. Kone-Doherty T. 23. Granaas S. 21. Spiten-Nysaeter O. 9. Abdullai J.	1. Podlech L. (G) 7. Nesso K. 2. Andresen M. 28. Mbacke D. 5. Kjelsen A. 14. Charles U. 21. Christensen M. (C) 18. Hagen E. 15. Osenbroch E. 8. Skotheim I. 27. Reed M.
Substitutes
28. Bender V. 17. Daehli M. 16. Kilen S. 12. Lervik P. (G) 20. Lonebu K. 8. Lovik M. 55. Skrede U. 52. Sylte D. 11. Zady C.	22. Engqvist E. 4. Haram S. 19. Kartum S. 30. Knutsen S. K. 26. Larsen T. (G) 38. Leikanger T. 17. Myrlid E. 16. Orsahl J. 25. Syversen U.
Coaches
Tjelmeland S.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Christensen M. ⚽, Charles U. (A),
32', Andresen M. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Skotheim I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kabini S. ↓, Daehli M. ↑,
46', Spiten-Nysaeter O. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
46', Kone-Doherty T. ↓, Zady C. ↑,
47', Abdullai J. 🟨,
60', Podlech L. 🟨,
71', Linnes M. ↓, Lonebu K. ↑,
78', Reed M. ↓, Myrlid E. ↑,
78', Skotheim I. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
79', Kjelsen A. ↓, Haram S. ↑,
81', Dahl F. ↓, Kilen S. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Lonebu K. ⚽,
86', Osenbroch E. ↓, Leikanger T. ↑,
90+7', Christensen M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15th in the Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molde won 3.

Molde arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Aalesunds have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Molde may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Molde as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Molde: Diop S. (Inactive) Hansen S. (Injury) Hestad E. (Injury) Hoff V. (Knee Injury) Kikkenborg M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stenevik H. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Aalesunds: Gudmundsson O. (Yellow Cards) Hammer H. (Injury) Kjelsen A. (Thigh Injury) Kristensen M. (Injury) Ngongo P. (Surgery) Podlech L. (Red Card) Seehusen J. (Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Molde in today's match, at odds of 1.33.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Molde has recorded 14 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:23 (averaging 2.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Molde against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 22:5 goals (averaging 2.4:0.6 per game).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Molde: 0.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Molde	22	11	4	7	46:34	12	37
14	Aalesund	22	4	9	9	35:50	-15	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molde FK
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Trygg Lade - Molde	0:5 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.09.26	Hamarkameratene - Molde	1:5 ✺
06.09.26	Molde - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Vålerenga - Molde	3:4 ✺
16.08.26	Molde - Tromsø	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Førde - Aalesunds	3:4 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.09.26	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Aalesunds - Start	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Viking Stavanger - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Aalesunds - Vålerenga	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
11.07.26	Aalesunds - Molde	2:2
16.05.23	Aalesunds - Molde	3:1
03.05.23	Molde - Aalesunds	3:0
Club Friendly
25.03.23	Aalesunds - Molde	0:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.09.22	Molde - Aalesunds	3:0
16.05.22	Aalesunds - Molde	0:2
06.12.20	Molde - Aalesunds	2:1

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