Match Info

NM Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kristiansund Stadion (Kristiansund) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	18:00	Direkte Sport


	Kristiansund		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.60	2.63
	2.20	3.60	2.55
	2.10	3.75	2.88
	2.36	3.93	2.66
	2.14	3.68	2.88	Watch
	2.30	3.70	2.60
	2.28	3.70	2.70
	2.19	3.60	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.13)	3.7 ↓ (3.82)	2.69 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristiansund
41.1%

Draw
24.8%

Aalesunds
34.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

24%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

24.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristiansund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Kristiansund - Aalesunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lansing M. (G) 59. Elvius M. 4. Juliusson J. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 3. Flex F. 22. Haugen H. 6. Isaksen J. 24. Christensen G. 23. Svendsen T. 27. Ronning A. 19. Alvheim L.	26. Larsen T. (G) 45. Aukland P. 22. Engqvist E. 3. Gudmundsson O. 16. Orsahl J. 15. Osenbroch E. 18. Hagen E. (C) 17. Myrlid E. 14. Charles U. 8. Skotheim I. 23. Vecchia S.
Substitutes
2. Borset A. 10. Bruseth H. 8. Isufi E. 25. Kitolano J. 12. Saether A. (G) 14. Skeide S. 7. Svendsen S. 16. Tufekcic D. 17. Williamsen M.	21. Christensen M. 20. Djantou I. 19. Kartum S. 5. Kjelsen A. 38. Leikanger T. 28. Mbacke D. 7. Nesso K. 41. Storas P. E. (G)
Coaches
Skiri A.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Charles U. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Vecchia S. ⚽, Charles U. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Charles U. ⚽,
59', Vecchia S. ↓, Christensen M. ↑,
59', Charles U. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
61', Isaksen J. ↓, Skeide S. ↑,
61', Elvius M. ↓, Bruseth H. ↑,
61', Ronning A. ↓, Svendsen S. ↑,
61', Christensen G. ↓, Tufekcic D. ↑,
64', Alvheim L. 🟨,
67', Tufekcic D. ↓, Borset A. ↑,
76', Skotheim I. ↓, Mbacke D. ↑,
76', Aukland P. ↓, Kjelsen A. ↑,
88', Osenbroch E. ↓, Djantou I. ↑,
89', Orsahl J. 🟨,
90', Kartum S. 🟨,
90+2', Juliusson J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kristiansund won 1.

Kristiansund has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Aalesunds have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Aalesunds has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kristiansund has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:30 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kristiansund against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 20:22 goals (averaging 1.8:2 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Aalesunds - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 32.96%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
25.10.26	Kristiansund - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	2:2 ✺
17.10.26	Kristiansund - Aalesunds	1:4 ✺
10.10.26	Bodø Glimt - Kristiansund	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Molde - Kristiansund	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.09.26	Kristiansund - Rosenborg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
25.10.26	Sarpsborg 08 - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Kristiansund - Aalesunds	1:4 ✺
11.10.26	Aalesunds - Sarpsborg 08	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Molde - Aalesunds	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Førde - Aalesunds	3:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
17.10.26	Kristiansund - Aalesunds	1:4
Club Friendly
27.06.26	Kristiansund - Aalesunds	0:3
Norwegian Eliteserien
26.04.26	Aalesunds - Kristiansund	1:1
Club Friendly
30.01.26	Aalesunds - Kristiansund	1:0
23.03.25	Kristiansund - Aalesunds	2:1
19.07.24	Kristiansund - Aalesunds	2:5
25.03.24	Kristiansund - Aalesunds	1:1

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