Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 19

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Molfetta		Barletta

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.25
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	3.36	3.24	2
	2.62	2.9	2.45
	3.24	3.2	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.83)	3.09 ↓ (3.17)	2.24 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molfetta
30.5%

Draw
29.2%

Barletta
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

28.4%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

27.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molfetta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Molfetta's performance.

Barletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barletta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molfetta than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Molfetta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barletta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Molfetta - Barletta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs)).

Molfetta has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barletta is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Molfetta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Molfetta Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
08.01.23	Matera - Molfetta	1:0 ✺
21.12.22	Afragolese - Molfetta	1:1 ✺
18.12.22	Molfetta - Altamura	1:3 ✺
11.12.22	Nocerina - Molfetta	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Molfetta - Città di Brindisi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL
- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group H
08.01.23	Barletta - Gladiator	2:0 ✺
21.12.22	Barletta - Città di Fasano	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Nardo - Barletta	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Barletta - Matera	2:2 ✺
04.12.22	Puteolana - Barletta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
11.09.22	Barletta - Molfetta	1:0

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