Match Info

KENYA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 15 March 2023, Wednesday


	Mombasa Elite		Mwatate United

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.8	8.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (2.12)	4.8 ↑ (2.75)	8.7 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mombasa Elite
70.7%

Draw
18.9%

Mwatate United
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

32.9%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

32.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mombasa Elite has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mombasa Elite's performance.

Mwatate United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mwatate United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mombasa Elite than the current prediction. (-27.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mombasa Elite that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mwatate United than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mwatate United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 13).

Mombasa Elite is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mwatate United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mwatate United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mombasa Elite is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mombasa Elite
Kenyan Super League
11.03.23	Mara Sugar - Mombasa Elite	2:1 ✺
08.03.23	Gusii - Mombasa Elite	0:1 ✺
08.02.23	Mombasa Elite - Silibwet Leons	3:0 ✺
04.02.23	Kajiado - Mombasa Elite	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Mombasa Elite - MCF	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWWWT
- Mwatate United
Kenyan Super League
10.03.23	Mwatate United - Assad	3:2 ✺
18.02.23	Mwatate United - Kajiado	3:2 ✺
12.02.23	Kisumu All-Stars - Mwatate United	5:0 ✺
04.02.23	MCF - Mwatate United	2:2 ✺
16.01.23	Mwatate United - Gusii	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLTL

Mombasa Elite - Mwatate United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide