Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CONFEDERATION CUP - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 2 November 2022, Wednesday


	Monastir		Berkane

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	1.85	3.2	3.75
	1.92	3.2	3.65
	1.88	3.03	4.03
	1.85	3.25	3.75
	1.86	3.24	3.94
	1.93	3.2	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.86)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	3.72 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monastir
47.6%

Draw
28.2%

Berkane
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

28.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monastir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Berkane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monastir than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berkane than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Monastir - Berkane Predictions

Users Predictions: Monastir will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Berkane could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Monastir have a series of guest games.

Monastir will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Monastir
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
29.10.22	Slimane - Monastir	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Métlaoui - Monastir	1:2 ✺
20.10.22	Olympique Béja - Monastir	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
15.10.22	Al Ahly Cairo - Monastir	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Monastir - Al Ahly Cairo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTLL
- RSB Berkane
Moroccan Botola
27.10.22	Berkane - Olympique Khouribga	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Berkane	1:1 ✺
18.10.22	Berkane - Moghreb Tétouan	2:2 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.10.22	Berkane - Kwara United	2:0 ✺
09.10.22	Kwara United - Berkane	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTTWL

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