Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: BGL LIGUE - ROUND 21

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Communal (Mondercange)


	Mondercange		Schifflange

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.95
				Watch
	3.46	3.54	1.97
	3.48	3.56	1.98
	3.4	3.55	1.92
	3.4	3.55	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.98)	3.54 ↑ (3.43)	1.95 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mondercange
27.2%

Draw
25.8%

Schifflange
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

26.7%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25.2%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mondercange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Schifflange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mondercange than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mondercange, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schifflange than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Schifflange, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Besic B. 🟥,
68', Garos M. ⚽,
85', Samba M. ⚽,
90+3', Amadei J. ⚽,
90+5', Nakache K. 🟥,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

Mondercange has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Schifflange is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Schifflange will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mondercange won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Mondercange
Luxembourg National Division
10.03.24	Marisca Mersch - Mondercange	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Mondercange - Jeunesse Esch	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	F91 Dudelange - Mondercange	4:2 ✺
18.02.24	Mondercange - Differdange 03	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Mondorf-les-Bains - Mondercange	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLTL
- FC Schifflange 95
Luxembourg National Division
10.03.24	Schifflange - Racing Luxembourg	4:1 ✺
03.03.24	Fola Esch - Schifflange	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Schifflange - Wiltz 71	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Progrès Niedercorn - Schifflange	4:0 ✺
11.02.24	Schifflange - Victoria Rosport	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
24.09.23	Schifflange - Mondercange	2:2

Mondercange - Schifflange: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide