Match Info

ASIA: Asian Cup - Qualification - Play Offs - Final

Date: 10 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: MFF Football Centre (Ulaanbaatar)


	Mongolia		Timor-Leste

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.2
	1.97	3.6	3.39
	1.93	3.68	3.35	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.25
	2.14	3.76	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.49)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	3.27 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mongolia
46.7%

Draw
25.1%

Timor-Leste
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.7%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mongolia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mongolia's performance.

Timor-Leste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Timor-Leste might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Mongolia - Timor Leste Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mongolia will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mongolia: 82% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munkherdene E. (G) 14. Altansukh T. FC Ulaanbaatar 2. Bat-Erdene U. Deren Sumida 8. Batmunkh B. Deren 5. Chinzorig F. FC Ulaanbaatar 3. Daginaa T. FC Ulaanbaatar 7. Ganbayar G. Komarno 10. Khurelbaataryn T. (C) Tuv Azarganuud 11. Naranbold N. Khoromkhon 12. Orkhon M. Deren 9. Oyunbaatar M. FC Ulaanbaatar	12. de Castro Pereira J. M. (G) 13. Bakhito A. 23. Correia A. 18. da Costa F. 6. de Oliveira J. F. O. L. Dangkor Senchey 8. Gomes Osorio C. 19. Gusmao Y. 10. Joao Pedro (C) Benfica 5. Soares J. 9. Xavier O. Thimphu City 11. Zenivio Tanjong Pagar
Substitutes
17. Amaraa D. FC Ulaanbaatar 6. Amgalanbat B. FC Ulaanbaatar 22. Ariunbold B. (G) Erchim FC 15. Batbayar T. Deren 19. Batkhuyag M. Khovd 20. Gantuyaa G. Khangarid 4. Gerelt-Od B. FC Ulaanbaatar 13. Khandaa T. (G) 16. Purevdorj B. Khangarid 18. Sodbilguun T. BCH Lions 23. Sodmunkh A. Brera Ilch 21. Tuvshinjargal D. Deren	1. Angelito de Jesus P. M. (G) 4. da Costa F. Lalenok 2. Da Silva A. 3. da Silva O. 16. dos Santos F. 7. Mesquita Elias 21. Mouzinho Visakha 14. Portela K. 22. Quintao S. 17. Requis Dias Quintao M. D. 20. Ricky 15. Xavier Jose da Costa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Daginaa T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Amaraa D. ⚽,
61', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-4.

Mongolia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mongolia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mongolia
Asian Cup
05.09.24	Timor-Leste - Mongolia	4:1 ✺
Friendly
11.06.24	Mongolia - Cambodia	2:1 ✺
07.06.24	Cambodia - Mongolia	2:0 ✺
25.03.24	Tanzania - Mongolia	3:0 ✺
22.03.24	Azerbaijan - Mongolia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- Timor-Leste
Asian Cup
05.09.24	Timor-Leste - Mongolia	4:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
17.10.23	Timor-Leste - Chinese Taipei	0:3 ✺
12.10.23	Chinese Taipei - Timor-Leste	4:0 ✺
ASEAN Championship
08.11.22	Timor-Leste - Brunei	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Brunei - Timor-Leste	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
05.09.24	Timor-Leste - Mongolia	4:1
FIFA World Cup
12.03.15	Timor-Leste - Mongolia	4:1

Mongolia - Timor-Leste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide