Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Ogosta Stadium (Montana)


	Montana		Sozopol

	1	X	2
	1.89	2.9	4.2
	1.77	2.71	4.59
	1.97	2.96	3.94	Watch
	1.86	2.95	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.52)	2.88 ↓ (3.79)	4.31 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montana
48%

Draw
31.2%

Sozopol
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.1%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

25.4%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montana's form might have worsened.

Sozopol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sozopol than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sozopol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Montana - Sozopol Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Montana will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Sozopol will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 14).

Montana has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sozopol is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sozopol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Montana is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Montana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montana
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.09.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Montana	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
22.09.22	Marek Dupnitsa - Montana	2:1 ET ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.09.22	Montana - Dunav Ruse	1:3 ✺
11.09.22	Lovech - Montana	0:0 ✺
06.09.22	Montana - Spartak Pleven	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- FC Sozopol
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.10.22	Sozopol - Botev Plovdiv II	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Krumovgrad - Sozopol	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Sozopol - Dobrudzha Dobrich	2:1 ✺
05.09.22	Ludogorets II - Sozopol	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Sozopol - Yantra Gabrovo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
10.04.22	Montana - Sozopol	3:2
02.10.21	Sozopol - Montana	1:0
20.10.17	Sozopol - Montana	0:5

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