Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Monte		Naval Reinosa

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.15	3.07	2.17
	3.23	3.18	2.16	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.52)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.17 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monte
28.9%

Draw
29%

Naval Reinosa
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.2%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

27.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monte's form might have worsened.

Naval Reinosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naval Reinosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monte than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval Reinosa than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naval Reinosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Bacci ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Lorenzo N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Monte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.01.25	Guarnizo - Monte	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Atlético Mineros Reocín - Monte	3:0 ✺
21.12.24	Monte - Vimenor	2:4 ✺
14.12.24	Monte - Cayón	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Barquereño - Monte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLTL
- Naval Reinosa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.01.25	Naval Reinosa - Atlético Mineros Reocín	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Naval Reinosa - Cayón	0:3 ✺
21.12.24	Bezana - Naval Reinosa	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Naval Reinosa - Revilla	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Colindres - Naval Reinosa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Monte - Naval Reinosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide