The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monte Carlo 40.9%
Draw 22.9%
Polícia de Segurança Pública 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
22.4%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57%
16.4%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monte Carlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Polícia de Segurança Pública has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monte Carlo than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monte Carlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polícia de Segurança Pública than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polícia de Segurança Pública, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).
Recent matches Monte Carlo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Polícia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Monte Carlo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Monte Carlo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Monte Carlo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.