Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group C - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Montebelluna		Cjarlins Muzane

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.75
	2.36	3.15	2.77
	2.36	3.15	2.77
	2	3.2	3.5
	2.72	3.04	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.81)	3.13 ↓ (3.28)	2.85 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montebelluna
38.9%

Draw
29.1%

Cjarlins Muzane
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.9%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montebelluna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montebelluna's form might have worsened.

Cjarlins Muzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cjarlins Muzane's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montebelluna than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montebelluna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cjarlins Muzane than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cjarlins Muzane, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Afi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+12', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+19', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: )).

Cjarlins Muzane is Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montebelluna won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cjarlins Muzane could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Montebelluna is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Montebelluna won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Montebelluna won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Montebelluna
Italian Serie D - Group C
21.04.24	Breno - Montebelluna	3:2 ✺
14.04.24	Montebelluna - Montecchio Maggiore	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Treviso - Montebelluna	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Montebelluna - Atletico Castegnato	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Chions - Montebelluna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLTW
- ASD Cjarlins Muzane
Italian Serie D - Group C
07.04.24	Cjarlins Muzane - Dolomiti Bellunesi	0:2 ✺
28.03.24	Adriese - Cjarlins Muzane	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Cjarlins Muzane - Campodarsego	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Portogruaro Summaga - Cjarlins Muzane	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Cjarlins Muzane - Virtus Bolzano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
16.12.23	Cjarlins Muzane - Montebelluna	0:1
22.01.23	Montebelluna - Cjarlins Muzane	0:0
17.09.22	Cjarlins Muzane - Montebelluna	3:1
09.04.22	Montebelluna - Cjarlins Muzane	3:1
28.11.21	Cjarlins Muzane - Montebelluna	1:2
28.02.21	Cjarlins Muzane - Montebelluna	1:3
11.10.20	Montebelluna - Cjarlins Muzane	0:1

Montebelluna - Cjarlins Muzane: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide