Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Montespaccato		Real Monterotondo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.98
	2.2	3.22	2.94
	3.13	3.36	2.10	Watch
	2.23	3.04	3.09
	2.9	3.3	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.96)	3.2 ↓ (3.28)	2.67 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montespaccato
36.5%

Draw
28.9%

Real Monterotondo
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

27.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montespaccato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montespaccato's performance.

Real Monterotondo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Monterotondo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montespaccato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monterotondo than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Monterotondo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montespaccato - Real Monterotondo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Gennari M. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Vitelli R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Montespaccato has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Monterotondo has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Montespaccato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Montespaccato has had a series of away games.

Real Monterotondo might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
09.11.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Montespaccato	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Montespaccato - Budoni	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Cassino - Montespaccato	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Nocerina - Montespaccato	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Albalonga - Montespaccato	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 TLWTL
- Real Monterotondo
Italian Serie D - Group G
08.11.25	Real Monterotondo - Budoni	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Palmese 1914 - Real Monterotondo	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Real Monterotondo - Nocerina	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Anzio - Real Monterotondo	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Real Monterotondo - Albalonga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL

Montespaccato - Real Monterotondo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide